Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x679608a16cfc7d82dc468bca00e5fd456ea196ccac4aadb33299dd7e8f1c7643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 70c | 803$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.29 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 18c | 379.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…ab49backed Yes | 29c | 347.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 26c | 265.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 26c | 205.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes | 37c | 204.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 38c | 202.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed Yes | 30c | 200.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 31c | 193.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed Yes | 30c | 174.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 26c | 174.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 69c | 159.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 37c | 154.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 30c | 146$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 74c | 129.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed No | 70c | 125.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 52c | 122.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 40c | 121.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 118.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 32c | 115$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 27c | 110.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 58c | 99.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…e2bdbacked Yes | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +20.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 63c | 93.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 78c | 89.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 30c | 83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 41c | 78.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 63c | 71.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 53c | 64.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 53c | 64.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 30c | 64.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 49c | 62.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 29c | 60.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 26c | 57.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 30c | 51.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ae…ab03backed Yes | 41c | 51.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…5805backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 32c | 47.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 44c | 45.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6671…e109backed No | 60c | 43.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 67c | 42.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ac…7cfebacked No | 60c | 41.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 28c | 40.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 68c | 38.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 63c | 38.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 35c | 35.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2350…a351backed Yes | 39c | 34.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 36c | 34.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 65c | 34.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…aaa8backed Yes | 41c | 33.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 56c | 32.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ad…dfbdbacked No | 70c | 30.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 69c | 28.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…6663backed No | 73c | 24.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640c…7010backed No | 73c | 23.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…b662backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 68c | 22.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 66c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…4c8dbacked No | 70c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 65c | 20.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 19.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed No | 56c | 18.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 288 | 66.3%191 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 70c | 16.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4784…2f0cbacked No | 66c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.