Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c3712de41368f3d6ef77e3830c4520d43a0c4793eff21f7d34a79c45bb57e5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 0c | 8,796$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…9c56backed No | 0c | 8,570$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked No | 0c | 8,568$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 1c | 6,109$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 1c | 2,035$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…5238backed No | 1c | 2,035$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked No | 1c | 2,032$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 10c | 1,798$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.58 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 1%2 W · 189 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 23c | 951.51$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.17 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 65c | 869.2$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.83 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…def2backed No | 77c | 854.57$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.73 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 17c | 790.47$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.86 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 765.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 13c | 638.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.18 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 33c | 636.89$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.04 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 20c | 592.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.82 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3141…f16abacked Yes | 80c | 592$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 69c | 527.96$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.19 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 13c | 460.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.02 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…eb26backed No | 78c | 445.02$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 67c | 441.77$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 16c | 380.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 31c | 371.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.97 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 6c | 348.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.31 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…c53fbacked Yes | 15c | 344.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.25 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 7c | 338.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.16 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…b6acbacked Yes | 25c | 336.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…22d6backed No | 76c | 288.57$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 38c | 284.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 20c | 259.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.73 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed No | 21c | 233.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 30c | 220.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.68 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 33c | 215.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14e…4286backed Yes | 79c | 213.17$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 46c | 210.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.76 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…3b86backed No | 25c | 206.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…2fdebacked Yes | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…1843backed No | 80c | 198.22$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.21 | 143 | 72%103 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 20c | 197.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.21 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e7…43abbacked No | 36c | 196.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 18c | 196.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 17c | 194.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 72c | 193.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 58c | 192.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…81a6backed No | 41c | 192.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 59c | 192.27$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…bf48backed No | 29c | 190.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…5441backed Yes | 31c | 189.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.31 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed No | 39c | 187.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…42a6backed Yes | 11c | 184.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.34 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 20c | 175.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.73 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 43c | 173.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 79c | 163.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed Yes | 8c | 159.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…152dbacked Yes | 11c | 159.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +317.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…187dbacked No | 23c | 159.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 60c | 157.37$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 57c | 138.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 49c | 138.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed67…c92dbacked No | 74c | 132.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 129.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 77c | 128.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…5447backed Yes | 60c | 127.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +263.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 64c | 120.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 50c | 120.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed Yes | 63c | 117.91$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.06 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 17c | 117.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 60c | 117$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 24c | 110.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 21c | 108.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes | 73c | 102.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 101$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…5723backed Yes | 25c | 100.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b8…b518backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc69…5797backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 76c | 97.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f7…9939backed No | 35c | 94.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…ad49backed No | 41c | 94.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 20c | 91.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 90.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 60c | 84.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 75c | 82.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 52c | 80.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 13c | 80.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…ad9dbacked Yes | 24c | 77.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 25c | 75.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 74c | 74.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed Yes | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked No | 77c | 73.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 23c | 65.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…32f6backed Yes | 78c | 62.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…f41abacked No | 78c | 62.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or below on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.