MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x704d055a4b1df2243611592e6b707e1b43f0e17082fd5a81da3b9c68bce02322
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 54c | 184,642$99,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,369.89 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 46c | 99,767$45,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,874 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 32,500$15,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 31,003$14,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,438.94 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 8,530$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,605.95 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 3,684$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.43 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9747…961ebacked Over | 47c | 3,473$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 59c | 2,412$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.99 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 2,092$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.03 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 2,043$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.66 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 48c | 1,885$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.97 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 1,598$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.81 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,554$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.87 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 1,182$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.56 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.41 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 46c | 815.2$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.21 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 47c | 797.7$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.8 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 761$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 63c | 645.1$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.63 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 65c | 615.32$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.59 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 47c | 579.83$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.31 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 47c | 537.84$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.06 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 46c | 537.84$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.43 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 52c | 500$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.58 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 48c | 494.9$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.21 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 52c | 480.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 65c | 450.92$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.93 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 46c | 400.01$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 356.67$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 7c | 339.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Under | 35c | 305.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 50c | 234.91$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 18c | 229.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 193.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 53c | 180.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 53c | 172.53$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 12c | 166.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 166.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 48c | 153.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 65c | 152.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 65c | 152.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 47c | 108.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 80c | 107.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Under | 50c | 98.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Under | 53c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 78c | 75.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 49c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 20c | 63.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Over | 48c | 53.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 48.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 44.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 60c | 43.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Over | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 56c | 34.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 75c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…29b9backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 50c | 22.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 49c | 20.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…6593backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -6.6wins | -0.47per pick | 54cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado RockiesArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.