Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x711bd663739aaa40b27ac357fd722bac9eabe1914c2599d3dbf1df6de5087172
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Ilbirs eSports, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 10,976$5,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,612.62 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 8,914$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,413.27 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Ilbirs eSports | 31c | 6,831$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.49 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 4,706$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.56 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 4,018$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.11 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Ilbirs eSports | 25c | 3,258$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.55 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 3,143$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.45 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 2,970$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 2,780$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.77 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 2,637$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.84 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 1,449$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.33 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 1,278$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.86 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed Ilbirs eSports | 5c | 1,114$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 1,070$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 1,048$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…7a55backed Ilbirs eSports | 1c | 1,030$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 999.9$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.73 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 22c | 901.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 896.38$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.41 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 25c | 735.96$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 544.64$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.89 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 544.18$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.29 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 540.12$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.19 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 504.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.53 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Team Nemesis | 78c | 480.06$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Ilbirs eSports | 26c | 423.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 407.75$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.76 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 403.91$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.08 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Ilbirs eSports | 33c | 400$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…ba84backed Team Nemesis | 78c | 372.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Ilbirs eSports | 30c | 369.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 355.87$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 350$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.54 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 345.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 342.19$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 335.26$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 329.95$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…8078backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 315$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 281.87$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Ilbirs eSports | 32c | 253.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 251.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 242.73$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 226.66$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Nemesis | 71c | 216.92$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 214.33$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Ilbirs eSports | 6c | 207.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 201.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 201.91$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 200.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 186.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…cf4bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 45c | 157.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Ilbirs eSports | 10c | 156.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 155.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 152.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa036…550cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 150.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…0e07backed Ilbirs eSports | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Ilbirs eSports | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 144.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 143.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Ilbirs eSports | 45c | 140.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 133.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ilbirs eSports | 15c | 128.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe996…3836backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 119.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 117.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 117.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 110.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 39c | 109.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…40ddbacked Ilbirs eSports | 29c | 108.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Ilbirs eSports | 45c | 107.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 103.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5f…c982backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Ilbirs eSports | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Ilbirs eSports | 28c | 94.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 93.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ilbirs eSports | 28c | 87.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 83.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 82.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 80.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 74.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 63.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 62.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Nemesis | 71c | 59.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 55.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Ilbirs eSports | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ilbirs eSports | 33c | 49.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.