TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Katie Volynets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Katie Volynetsof Darja Semenistaja, Katie Volynets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3df…82fabacked Darja Semenistaja36c17,309$6,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,278.1727846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Katie Volynets63c15,965$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,96531056.1%174 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Katie Volynets69c5,072$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.4653655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfac7…78ebbacked Katie Volynets61c4,925$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.128554.1%46 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Darja Semenistaja37c4,168$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.7111,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Darja Semenistaja40c3,751$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006041.7%25 W · 35 L-8.2wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Katie Volynets64c3,334$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.519,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Darja Semenistaja38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9968935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Darja Semenistaja22c2,088$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.757,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Katie Volynets61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3427739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0c…a55dbacked Darja Semenistaja51c1,287$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.8922965.9%151 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Darja Semenistaja36c1,200$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43220234.2%69 W · 133 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Darja Semenistaja39c1,012$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.611,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Katie Volynets61c990.6$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.611,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Darja Semenistaja47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28215442.2%65 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Darja Semenistaja41c577.97$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.722,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Katie Volynets60c499.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked Katie Volynets57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.517649.4%87 W · 89 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Darja Semenistaja38c394$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.887,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Katie Volynets59c321.5$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.691,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Katie Volynets51c290.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9545752.7%241 W · 216 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Katie Volynets53c279.62$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6294549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Katie Volynets75c262.93$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.971,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Darja Semenistaja34c236.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.251,37138.3%525 W · 846 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Katie Volynets61c230.32$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.861,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Darja Semenistaja37c220.79$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.22,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Darja Semenistaja39c210$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.916029.4%47 W · 113 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Katie Volynets72c206.67$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.818247.3%86 W · 96 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Darja Semenistaja41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8291050.2%457 W · 453 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Katie Volynets58c179.3$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.892,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Katie Volynets65c144.25$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.284,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Katie Volynets56c143.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6325751.8%133 W · 124 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Darja Semenistaja41c126.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.961,42555.1%785 W · 640 L+23.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33e…b4b6backed Darja Semenistaja40c112.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518545.4%84 W · 101 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Darja Semenistaja39c105.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1731841.8%133 W · 185 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Darja Semenistaja19c104$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.761,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d5…138ebacked Darja Semenistaja40c101.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408758.6%51 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Darja Semenistaja39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Darja Semenistaja50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016446.3%76 W · 88 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c20…42a1backed Katie Volynets60c99.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.881776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Darja Semenistaja40c90.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0278452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x592c…ee32backed Katie Volynets62c78.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.015352.8%28 W · 25 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Darja Semenistaja39c76.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6643353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Darja Semenistaja40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2816529.1%48 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Katie Volynets71c69.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.195,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Darja Semenistaja41c68.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.933,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee0…7dffbacked Darja Semenistaja19c63.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214415.3%22 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Darja Semenistaja33c58.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4774346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Darja Semenistaja39c58.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6984640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Darja Semenistaja41c56.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3415060%90 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Darja Semenistaja39c56.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.132,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Darja Semenistaja46c52.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.423,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Darja Semenistaja31c51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Darja Semenistaja37c51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8722352.5%117 W · 106 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc287…6d47backed Darja Semenistaja20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.215332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Darja Semenistaja37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Katie Volynets60c45.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1679062.2%491 W · 299 L+25.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Katie Volynets63c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.854,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc17d…2134backed Katie Volynets62c43.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.454165.9%27 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9691…3797backed Katie Volynets60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Katie Volynets61c39.43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.296,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Katie Volynets59c39.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2130672.9%223 W · 83 L+27.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Darja Semenistaja38c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.684,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Darja Semenistaja40c35.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1232240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…9d08backed Katie Volynets61c34.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.582975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Darja Semenistaja39c33.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1951347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x411e…72f0backed Katie Volynets60c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0615762.4%98 W · 59 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b89…98d6backed Katie Volynets60c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.238966.1%257 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Darja Semenistaja40c30.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.313,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Darja Semenistaja53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.995742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Darja Semenistaja39c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.319628.1%27 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e71…e3d7backed Katie Volynets61c25.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.131963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Darja Semenistaja39c25.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0899649.5%493 W · 503 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Darja Semenistaja40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1035051.1%179 W · 171 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Katie Volynets61c24.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.681,08452.6%570 W · 514 L+31.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d45…146dbacked Darja Semenistaja50c24.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Darja Semenistaja46c22.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3256817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Katie Volynets61c22.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7581047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Katie Volynets50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1095047.7%453 W · 497 L+34.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.