NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75f3003fcf3a8375bb25c26f7aa23efd2593ba668fafdbb32e488c11ab0f6f56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Raptors, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Raptors | 17c | 25,153$4,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 19c | 12,215$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.38 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 19c | 11,000$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Raptors | 19c | 9,361$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.57 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Raptors | 15c | 8,448$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.26 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Raptors | 20c | 7,507$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.33 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers | 79c | 3,987$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.48 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers | 79c | 3,357$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.98 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Raptors | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…d206backed Raptors | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3484…22e9backed Pacers | 80c | 2,350$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc3…7e27backed Raptors | 20c | 2,205$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Raptors | 19c | 2,032$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.06 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Pacers | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pacers | 79c | 1,914$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.05 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 20c | 1,666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors | 20c | 1,622$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.42 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…0c64backed Pacers | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 77cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Raptors | 21c | 1,200$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.42 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked Raptors | 1c | 1,053$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Raptors | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Raptors | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Raptors | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Raptors | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Pacers | 79c | 999.95$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Raptors | 5c | 882.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Raptors | 9c | 879.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors | 2c | 852.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Raptors | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Raptors | 20c | 729.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de5…fe7bbacked Raptors | 19c | 706.84$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Raptors | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Raptors | 21c | 650$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…d133backed Raptors | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…c617backed Raptors | 20c | 593.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Raptors | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Raptors | 16c | 538.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Raptors | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Raptors | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…d105backed Pacers | 80c | 448.75$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Raptors | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Raptors | 10c | 417$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pacers | 80c | 393.43$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 5c | 381.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Raptors | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Raptors | 8c | 327.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Raptors | 17c | 311.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 21c | 305$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Raptors | 20c | 300.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Raptors | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Pacers | 79c | 299.94$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pacers | 77c | 294.28$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…e795backed Raptors | 20c | 251.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Raptors | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Raptors | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Raptors | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dad…0668backed Pacers | 80c | 224.39$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Raptors | 23c | 217.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Raptors | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Pacers | 77c | 210$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Raptors | 8c | 200.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Pacers | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Raptors | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd625…b757backed Raptors | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors | 16c | 184.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Raptors | 16c | 179.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…7097backed Raptors | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af6…7f74backed Raptors | 21c | 171.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…2932backed Raptors | 12c | 169.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Raptors | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Raptors | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c9…a8f0backed Raptors | 21c | 138$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…3ae6backed Pacers | 79c | 128$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e6…5d2bbacked Pacers | 79c | 125.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…a1d1backed Raptors | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…812fbacked Pacers | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Pacers | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1539…198fbacked Raptors | 20c | 124$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…a767backed Raptors | 20c | 115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…982cbacked Raptors | 10c | 114.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…d3eabacked Raptors | 17c | 108.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…1d32backed Raptors | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Raptors | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Raptors | 15c | 101.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 352 | 35.2%124 W · 228 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Raptors | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Raptors | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Pacers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41f…f229backed Pacers | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2c…bdb9backed Raptors | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…a3bdbacked Pacers | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…4486backed Raptors | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…644bbacked Raptors | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7383…9194backed Pacers | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5775…5d67backed Pacers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee6…1779backed Raptors | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…8b44backed Raptors | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…456dbacked Pacers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.