TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kosice: Taro Daniel vs Mathys Erhard

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mathys Erhardof Taro Daniel, Mathys Erhard
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Taro Daniel42c8,118$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.2811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mathys Erhard52c3,703$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.738,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Taro Daniel39c2,737$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.018,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Mathys Erhard47c2,387$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.91,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Mathys Erhard72c1,902$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.461,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab0…0a44backed Mathys Erhard52c1,657$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.43675%27 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Mathys Erhard73c1,121$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.991,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Mathys Erhard38c999.99$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Mathys Erhard74c997$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.2216552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Taro Daniel40c852.11$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9828835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mathys Erhard65c724.99$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.64,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Mathys Erhard38c719.95$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.3757842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Taro Daniel61c700.19$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1258745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Mathys Erhard39c649.59$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.251,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Mathys Erhard44c639.52$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.133,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mathys Erhard61c636.3$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.46,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Taro Daniel63c580.36$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.633,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Taro Daniel62c476.17$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.231,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Mathys Erhard60c429.13$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.511,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Taro Daniel62c419.42$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.041,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd36…8a0bbacked Taro Daniel50c394.6$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Taro Daniel40c359.23$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.469,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Taro Daniel56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Mathys Erhard55c350.51$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.515,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mathys Erhard39c350.06$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4995140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf35a…ce87backed Taro Daniel29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004818.8%9 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a80…b808backed Mathys Erhard37c339.61$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.959643.8%42 W · 54 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Taro Daniel38c317.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Taro Daniel36c314.71$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.326,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Taro Daniel62c304.47$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7760856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Mathys Erhard39c300.21$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1339149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Mathys Erhard61c289.39$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.582,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Taro Daniel39c289.25$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.91,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Taro Daniel56c287.64$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.084738.3%18 W · 29 L-7.7wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Mathys Erhard62c275.48$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6824856.9%141 W · 107 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Taro Daniel50c255.19$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.112,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Mathys Erhard54c246.89$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.484,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mathys Erhard55c245.33$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.984,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Mathys Erhard41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.911747%55 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mathys Erhard61c236.88$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.78,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x585e…019fbacked Taro Daniel51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Taro Daniel62c201.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Taro Daniel25c192.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.081,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Taro Daniel49c156.62$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.754,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Taro Daniel23c156.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3613928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Taro Daniel41c155$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7423427.4%64 W · 170 L-40.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Mathys Erhard38c154.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.653,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mathys Erhard63c151.36$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.182,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Taro Daniel38c142.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5299244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Mathys Erhard55c139.61$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2685624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Taro Daniel56c133.43$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5236757.8%212 W · 155 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Taro Daniel66c130.02$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8116047.5%76 W · 84 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Mathys Erhard71c129.49$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5527753.4%148 W · 129 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Mathys Erhard39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2158045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Taro Daniel62c128$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3696844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Mathys Erhard78c128$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1678840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Mathys Erhard34c127.46$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.127,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mathys Erhard37c118.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.862,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mathys Erhard54c115.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.46,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Taro Daniel49c112.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0585449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Taro Daniel63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6356062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Mathys Erhard70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Taro Daniel47c97.17$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6767838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Taro Daniel32c93.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.252,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Taro Daniel62c90$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.824546.5%114 W · 131 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Taro Daniel25c79.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.953119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Taro Daniel37c77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.155,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Taro Daniel62c76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1289364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Mathys Erhard51c66.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.093,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Mathys Erhard60c62.83$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.132,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Taro Daniel62c62.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5815060%90 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed1…18a8backed Mathys Erhard55c61.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4913256.1%74 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f4c…dd9abacked Mathys Erhard70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8c…419fbacked Taro Daniel62c56.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5917…093bbacked Mathys Erhard61c55.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.65560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1528…b976backed Taro Daniel28c52.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.851145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Taro Daniel64c51.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2737158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Taro Daniel40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.966341.3%26 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Mathys Erhard36c47.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2251347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Taro Daniel34c46.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4959253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Mathys Erhard37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mathys Erhard38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…69a5backed Taro Daniel52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021555.8%120 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Taro Daniel62c37.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3351644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Mathys Erhard73c36.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.941,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Mathys Erhard55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Mathys Erhard74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.235187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Taro Daniel31c34.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.629152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Mathys Erhard58c33.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8983047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x376a…78a7backed Taro Daniel62c32.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Mathys Erhard35c31.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4329237.3%109 W · 183 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a89…df4bbacked Taro Daniel65c31.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4314657.5%84 W · 62 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Mathys Erhard59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.211,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Mathys Erhard38c29.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.573,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b42…90fbbacked Mathys Erhard71c28.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mathys Erhard66c27.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.556,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Mathys Erhard38c27.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2185637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6bb…a47fbacked Mathys Erhard73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.46767.2%45 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Taro Daniel63c25.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.981,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Taro Daniel61c24.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516050.6%81 W · 79 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.