NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e34419e62734adcdfcbe645a1a1416dec24dd24e34b4ff2527e8dae83d079f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Wizards, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Wizards | 4c | 16,216$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.24 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Wizards | 14c | 8,125$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.3 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Wizards | 17c | 7,293$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.35 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Wizards | 12c | 6,466$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.92 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 12c | 5,003$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.37 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Wizards | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Wizards | 11c | 4,901$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.14 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Wizards | 12c | 4,168$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Wizards | 13c | 3,899$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.46 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…97c1backed Wizards | 14c | 3,376$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 11c | 3,264$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.92 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Wizards | 7c | 3,059$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.78 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Wizards | 15c | 2,879$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.91 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 11c | 2,581$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.86 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…acb2backed Wizards | 11c | 2,382$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.07 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Wizards | 10c | 2,222$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.19 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Wizards | 18c | 2,151$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.11 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Wizards | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…4bb7backed Wizards | 12c | 1,935$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Wizards | 10c | 1,834$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.44 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wizards | 14c | 1,445$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.93 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 10c | 1,131$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,101$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Wizards | 17c | 1,055$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1b3backed Wizards | 8c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 4c | 966$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…0503backed Wizards | 11c | 917.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…7c4cbacked Wizards | 10c | 867.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Wizards | 13c | 826.38$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 10c | 814.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Wizards | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Wizards | 19c | 799.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Wizards | 10c | 683.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…c575backed Wizards | 12c | 628.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 18c | 601.4$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…d8b1backed Wizards | 18c | 593.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Wizards | 12c | 572.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Wizards | 14c | 512.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 10c | 500.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Wizards | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Wizards | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Wizards | 11c | 350$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 13c | 349.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Wizards | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Wizards | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Wizards | 10c | 245.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 178 | 34.8%62 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…eacdbacked Wizards | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Wizards | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Wizards | 14c | 222$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…10ccbacked Wizards | 14c | 216.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Bucks | 78c | 212.76$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Wizards | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…b922backed Wizards | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Wizards | 7c | 191.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 119 | 34.5%41 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…e1a8backed Wizards | 13c | 190.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 12c | 174.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Wizards | 11c | 173.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Wizards | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…dfa1backed Wizards | 25c | 166.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…6f4fbacked Wizards | 10c | 151.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f52…b5e7backed Wizards | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe475…2e6fbacked Wizards | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a3a1backed Wizards | 12c | 145.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Wizards | 16c | 143.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc223…1cbfbacked Wizards | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…ce78backed Wizards | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…aaf2backed Wizards | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…894ebacked Wizards | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…b82cbacked Wizards | 16c | 128.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…f083backed Wizards | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5d…16f9backed Wizards | 10c | 119$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed Wizards | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Wizards | 18c | 111.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf627…1a8abacked Wizards | 18c | 109.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Wizards | 14c | 106.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d81…127ebacked Wizards | 12c | 100.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Wizards | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…3a8ebacked Wizards | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…1fa4backed Wizards | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Wizards | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed Wizards | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03fb…38a5backed Wizards | 11c | 99.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c6…2ef0backed Wizards | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab25…aad2backed Wizards | 15c | 88.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…bf0cbacked Wizards | 15c | 86.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Wizards | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…2261backed Wizards | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2084…fbdebacked Bucks | 69c | 29.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks | 76c | 24.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.