Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e7d83ea769fac32a8b15cb1a6712dce31eb673d41f6f8609f7ca95e006a0cdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cbd…9c14backed Yes | 1c | 5,335$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…2838backed Yes | 9c | 1,647$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 4c | 1,452$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 1c | 1,373$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,193$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 3c | 719.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked No | 75c | 638.48$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.27 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 23c | 563.72$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 6c | 548.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…f896backed Yes | 22c | 429.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 3c | 408.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 375.19$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…83d0backed Yes | 20c | 350.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 78c | 344.23$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…47b3backed Yes | 27c | 334.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 9c | 309.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…7104backed Yes | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 9c | 287.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed Yes | 17c | 286.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 28c | 266.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 7c | 265.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 23c | 243.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 214.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…7376backed Yes | 20c | 213.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 22c | 202.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 11c | 200.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…d4c4backed Yes | 14c | 200.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 75c | 180.44$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…352dbacked Yes | 7c | 174.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 30c | 172$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed Yes | 30c | 166.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…2dc8backed No | 76c | 164.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Yes | 14c | 157.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…e5babacked No | 72c | 153.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 19c | 151.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 22c | 138.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 80c | 136.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 22c | 135.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed Yes | 22c | 122.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff9…fa6abacked Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Yes | 23c | 118.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5c75backed Yes | 18c | 117.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 160 | 30%48 W · 112 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 26c | 113$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 20c | 110.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 12c | 108.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 10c | 105.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…a328backed Yes | 28c | 105.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…b11bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…4b1dbacked No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 76c | 99.84$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…1d09backed Yes | 27c | 93.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3dc…903fbacked Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Yes | 19c | 88.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 474 | 32.5%154 W · 320 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 75c | 85.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 69c | 84.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 17c | 80.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…6efcbacked Yes | 18c | 78.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 219 | 30.1%66 W · 153 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…6b1abacked Yes | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ff84backed Yes | 26c | 73.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…d903backed Yes | 16c | 73.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…8410backed Yes | 18c | 72.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…976abacked Yes | 28c | 71.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa691…41f7backed Yes | 28c | 70.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc616…3571backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed No | 73c | 68.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…c1fbbacked Yes | 28c | 65.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…b087backed Yes | 25c | 60.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…aac0backed Yes | 18c | 58.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 24c | 57.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…7456backed Yes | 19c | 57.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…bbe3backed No | 79c | 57.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 56.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…e744backed Yes | 33c | 56.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 163 | 20.2%33 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 73c | 54.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f46…06f0backed No | 74c | 51.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…8d25backed Yes | 28c | 50.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…e027backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 26c | 49.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 24c | 46.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…4895backed No | 69c | 42.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 79c | 37.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 77c | 36.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8455…501fbacked No | 76c | 27.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 75cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…86b1backed No | 71c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 79c | 15.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 73c | 15.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…b54abacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on April 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.