Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80d3bb5d441b3ee44d599defb0636a29adaa07daa0d9721732342e0a865a4df3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 39c | 3,645$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.37 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 599.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fd…d854backed No | 61c | 552.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2309…67c6backed No | 60c | 492.22$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 67c | 490.98$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.35 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 20c | 423.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 62c | 350$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 49c | 346.34$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.82 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 45c | 291.35$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.19 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 30c | 280.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 73c | 264.39$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 36c | 248$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.62 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed No | 60c | 225$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 61c | 220$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 59c | 209.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 45c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 35c | 170.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 80c | 163.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6122…7b8fbacked No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 23c | 134.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 133$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 131.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 58c | 125$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 124.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 35c | 114.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…537bbacked No | 76c | 113.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 14c | 109.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 36c | 109.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 35c | 109.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked Yes | 44c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 24c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75f…f98bbacked No | 62c | 80.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 37c | 70.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 62c | 69.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 37c | 64.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…1d04backed No | 62c | 64.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 35c | 64.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked Yes | 34c | 62.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 42c | 57.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…2fe3backed No | 65c | 57.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 48c | 54.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 64c | 52.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed No | 76c | 52.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 50.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked Yes | 27c | 49.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 60c | 49.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 45c | 48.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 47.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 67c | 47.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 33c | 47.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 37c | 47.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 59c | 45.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 80c | 42.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed Yes | 49c | 41.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 36c | 40.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 35c | 40.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 36c | 39.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 72c | 38.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 66c | 38.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 51c | 34.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 37c | 32.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 40c | 32.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 79c | 32.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 41c | 31.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed No | 69c | 29.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 63c | 25.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 63c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…d0bcbacked No | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 73c | 22.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…070fbacked Yes | 53c | 22.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 67c | 22.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 79c | 20.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked No | 75c | 19.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb9…7895backed No | 75c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 62c | 18.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked No | 61c | 18.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 62c | 16.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 72c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C or higher on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.