MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x825db995fc4b22745189d5a323e11aa0f1a7ff381a4e71d23bf2d1b5e4792477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Chicago Cubs, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $637,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $635,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 266,692$163,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,086.2 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 177,844$67,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,948.98 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 84,212$21,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,801.73 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 72,708$26,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,499.37 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 51,719$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,099.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 30,000$8,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,798.92 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 29,075$14,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,489.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 25,741$12,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,855.84 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 18,733$5,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,304.42 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 12,741$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,353.75 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…728fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 10,067$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,662.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 272 | 53.7%146 W · 126 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 7,319$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,801.4 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 5,625$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.5 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 5,091$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.61 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 4,726$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.64 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 78c | 3,571$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.61 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 3,032$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.09 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,744$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 2,500$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.48 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 2,457$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.5 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,427$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.04 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,161$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.78 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,920$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +280.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…299abacked Chicago Cubs | 74c | 1,493$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 1,410$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.1 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,324$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.93 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…b2b2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 1,282$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.71 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,271$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.29 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,253$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.56 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,203$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.5 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -9.9wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 1,155$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.74 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 1,097$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.44 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,095$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.22 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…2d57backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 980$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…421ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 980$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 970.33$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.57 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 855.46$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.62 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 843$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.35 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…3dd3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 797.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 771.63$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.53 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 4c | 761.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.8 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 731.7$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.85 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 644.04$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.91 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 617.22$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.03 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 600$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +238.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 555.82$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.91 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 521$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.29 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 499.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.59 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 454$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.67 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 446.94$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.28 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 423.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.69 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 414.03$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.62 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 399.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 331.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.26 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 315$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.02 | 287 | 50.9%146 W · 141 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.3 | 280 | 31.1%87 W · 193 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 272.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 264.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 264.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 263.64$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 257.24$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fc…617abacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 253.65$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 236$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 225$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 451 | 49.2%222 W · 229 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 437 | 57%249 W · 188 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 583 | 58.5%341 W · 242 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 133 | 33.8%45 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 188.83$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.34 | 196 | 56.1%110 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 187.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.4 | 213 | 46%98 W · 115 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 185.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.48 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 175.18$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.58 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.