TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Under53c12,161$6,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,464.0614943.6%65 W · 84 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Under58c10,308$5,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,984.128447.6%40 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c7,769$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,183.8911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over41c7,181$2,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,257.5410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under55c4,450$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.44,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00039047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over46c2,784$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.123,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over45c2,549$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.314,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c1,866$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.7712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over46c1,569$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.1132251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,542$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.5668053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over29c1,200$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85287750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under54c1,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.9923758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over47c1,167$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.848,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over47c1,108$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.0628154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8349158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under54c999.97$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9824651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c895.46$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.58,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over47c871.14$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.721550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c819.67$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.522,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over46c761$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.9427249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c664.49$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.096,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over47c597$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.423,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27569351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over56c499$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.564,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5311138.7%43 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22026759.2%158 W · 109 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Under55c329.4$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1737052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over39c303.04$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.568,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over5c287.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.893,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Under55c274.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under56c254$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.146,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9519…9c28backed Over44c241.02$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.978747.1%41 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under55c236.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13081257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Over48c224.16$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.563545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over46c220$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.81,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over32c213.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.73,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over31c200.3$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.365,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over46c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10999447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008046.3%37 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over45c179$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4528943.3%125 W · 164 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c168.45$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.022,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.544949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under56c125.92$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7244744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under57c111.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.642,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c111.63$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.922,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbf…d227backed Over32c103.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.381747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over46c102.54$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3757747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over48c100.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.61,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Over49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.235849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under60c89.44$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.662,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under57c86.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.371,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under52c76.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6131258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4231343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under56c71.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026747.9%128 W · 139 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over42c69.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5769447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over46c61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.941,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked Over41c57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8715145.7%69 W · 82 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0887…28f3backed Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015452.6%81 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over47c53.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.32,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under53c50.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2762554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under54c50.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.841,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2746557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c44.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Under57c44.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.573949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5544345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under55c39.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over32c36.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.032,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Over46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6150962.9%320 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over44c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9225850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.221748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Under55c26.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.759749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under54c22.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Under55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129146.2%42 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x123e…eed4backed Under55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Under54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.881651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Over72c15.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2411255.4%62 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.