Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Heather Watson vs Harriet Dart
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88573aaa5678bb7323985532f2dbf84288aca8a8526eb4896cf928ca1f9fccf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harriet Dartof Heather Watson, Harriet Dart
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $435,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Heather Watson | 25c | 288,702$72,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,396.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Harriet Dart | 71c | 172,604$123,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,460.01 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Harriet Dart | 70c | 36,081$25,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,710.33 | 3,776 | 42.6%1,608 W · 2,168 L | -44.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Harriet Dart | 61c | 22,222$13,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,666.57 | 780 | 47.2%368 W · 412 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Harriet Dart | 79c | 13,520$10,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.5 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Harriet Dart | 64c | 7,847$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.45 | 386 | 47.4%183 W · 203 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Harriet Dart | 57c | 7,449$4,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.78 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Harriet Dart | 64c | 3,725$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.99 | 119 | 66.4%79 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Heather Watson | 37c | 3,286$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.82 | 648 | 51.9%336 W · 312 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Harriet Dart | 30c | 3,153$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.74 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Harriet Dart | 50c | 3,000$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.96 | 780 | 55.4%432 W · 348 L | +52.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Heather Watson | 39c | 2,401$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.5 | 1,606 | 24.4%392 W · 1,214 L | -41.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Harriet Dart | 24c | 2,176$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.59 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Heather Watson | 32c | 2,159$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.29 | 302 | 53.6%162 W · 140 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Heather Watson | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,522 | 37.8%576 W · 946 L | +26.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Harriet Dart | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 259 | 40.9%106 W · 153 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Heather Watson | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 1,121 | 52.2%585 W · 536 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Harriet Dart | 62c | 1,935$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.48 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Harriet Dart | 26c | 1,800$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329 | 621 | 22.2%138 W · 483 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Harriet Dart | 59c | 1,712$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.06 | 2,088 | 46.7%975 W · 1,113 L | +19.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Harriet Dart | 39c | 1,661$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.05 | 264 | 40.2%106 W · 158 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…3458backed Heather Watson | 36c | 1,650$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Harriet Dart | 64c | 1,640$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.44 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +32.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…5345backed Harriet Dart | 64c | 1,517$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Harriet Dart | 31c | 1,369$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.23 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Heather Watson | 41c | 1,207$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.22 | 2,804 | 53.7%1,505 W · 1,299 L | +71.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Heather Watson | 35c | 1,109$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.18 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Heather Watson | 38c | 1,066$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.08 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Harriet Dart | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 1,145 | 50%572 W · 573 L | -23.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Heather Watson | 62c | 949.43$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.61 | 3,238 | 57.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L | +179.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Harriet Dart | 48c | 908.21$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.21 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Harriet Dart | 72c | 844.5$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.49 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Harriet Dart | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Harriet Dart | 69c | 825.43$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.59 | 1,112 | 57.9%644 W · 468 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Harriet Dart | 61c | 819.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.7 | 696 | 57.5%400 W · 296 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Harriet Dart | 44c | 753.77$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.83 | 2,882 | 47.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L | +39.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Harriet Dart | 28c | 630$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.6 | 519 | 41%213 W · 306 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Heather Watson | 37c | 600$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.26 | 7,157 | 39.8%2,848 W · 4,309 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Harriet Dart | 63c | 584$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.41 | 6,700 | 50.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L | +267.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Harriet Dart | 69c | 559.92$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.65 | 5,486 | 56.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L | +232.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Heather Watson | 56c | 510.3$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.77 | 728 | 29.5%215 W · 513 L | -42.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Heather Watson | 37c | 505.51$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 1,793 | 49.4%885 W · 908 L | +62.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Harriet Dart | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 524 | 50.4%264 W · 260 L | -27.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Heather Watson | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 459 | 48.8%224 W · 235 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Heather Watson | 36c | 469$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.84 | 387 | 45.2%175 W · 212 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…d9f1backed Heather Watson | 42c | 467.3$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 173 | 26%45 W · 128 L | -20.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Harriet Dart | 43c | 460.08$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.81 | 5,075 | 41.5%2,104 W · 2,971 L | -83.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Harriet Dart | 50c | 455.9$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.55 | 1,856 | 46.8%868 W · 988 L | -55.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Heather Watson | 49c | 419$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.31 | 5,031 | 38.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L | -20.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…4f02backed Heather Watson | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 73cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Harriet Dart | 60c | 403.8$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.52 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Harriet Dart | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Heather Watson | 38c | 399$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.62 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Heather Watson | 38c | 391.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 3,397 | 48.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L | -47.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Heather Watson | 36c | 383.38$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 2,581 | 38.7%999 W · 1,582 L | +100.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Harriet Dart | 59c | 380.42$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.97 | 1,207 | 52.4%633 W · 574 L | +27.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Harriet Dart | 47c | 363.49$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.87 | 1,522 | 43.9%668 W · 854 L | -26.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Heather Watson | 36c | 347$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 2,255 | 37.1%836 W · 1,419 L | +43.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Harriet Dart | 70c | 332.38$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 726 | 38.3%278 W · 448 L | -34.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…8ef4backed Harriet Dart | 62c | 317.47$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Heather Watson | 27c | 312.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Heather Watson | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,296 | 42.9%984 W · 1,312 L | +37.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Heather Watson | 72c | 262.5$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Heather Watson | 39c | 256.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,599 | 42.3%676 W · 923 L | +19.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Harriet Dart | 61c | 253.01$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Heather Watson | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 289 | 34.9%101 W · 188 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Harriet Dart | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 9,444 | 44.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L | -249.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Harriet Dart | 53c | 240.32$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 995 | 51.6%513 W · 482 L | +28.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Heather Watson | 36c | 234.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 578 | 27.3%158 W · 420 L | +23.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heather Watson | 63c | 233.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…0808backed Heather Watson | 38c | 230$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Harriet Dart | 24c | 229$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.45 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Harriet Dart | 64c | 207.92$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 559 | 46.3%259 W · 300 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Heather Watson | 54c | 205.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.35 | 1,815 | 46.5%844 W · 971 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Heather Watson | 74c | 203.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 70cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Heather Watson | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 168 | 47%79 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Heather Watson | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Heather Watson | 41c | 198$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 198 | 52%103 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…472fbacked Heather Watson | 28c | 185.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Heather Watson | 80c | 180.77$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.93 | 2,369 | 52.2%1,236 W · 1,133 L | +87.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Harriet Dart | 44c | 177.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 305 | 47.5%145 W · 160 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e7…9781backed Heather Watson | 40c | 173.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Heather Watson | 37c | 160.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 7,227 | 49.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L | +118.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Harriet Dart | 48c | 158.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Heather Watson | 30c | 151.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1,109 | 48%532 W · 577 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Heather Watson | 61c | 137.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 4,647 | 67.7%3,147 W · 1,500 L | +308.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Harriet Dart | 60c | 133.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Heather Watson | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,303 | 40.2%1,329 W · 1,974 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…048ebacked Heather Watson | 24c | 125.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Heather Watson | 35c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 846 | 47.9%405 W · 441 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a1…1c2ebacked Harriet Dart | 24c | 119.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 142 | 21.1%30 W · 112 L | -12.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Heather Watson | 34c | 116.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 282 | 52.8%149 W · 133 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…205cbacked Harriet Dart | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Heather Watson | 35c | 114.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Heather Watson | 64c | 107.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,324 | 64.7%857 W · 467 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heather Watson | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 4,708 | 48.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L | +36.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Harriet Dart | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…3cabbacked Heather Watson | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 281 | 32.4%91 W · 190 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Harriet Dart | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…98cebacked Heather Watson | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification WTA: Heather Watson vs Harriet Dartthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Watson vs DartWatson won
- Watson vs. Dart: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.