Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3002b6b490fb9c1efc46fbce1ec06855175666382244223a8998649a98959d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pellegrinoof Pellegrino, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Pellegrino | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Wild | 50c | 8,832$4,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.92 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pellegrino | 64c | 8,733$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.58 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e5…b57dbacked Wild | 28c | 8,456$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,341 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wild | 1c | 3,920$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wild | 48c | 2,491$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.55 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wild | 45c | 1,876$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.38 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Pellegrino | 47c | 1,798$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.87 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Wild | 30c | 1,659$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Pellegrino | 58c | 1,628$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.87 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Wild | 5c | 1,520$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pellegrino | 65c | 1,504$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.21 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Wild | 49c | 1,500$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Pellegrino | 64c | 1,295$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.2 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Pellegrino | 49c | 1,205$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.93 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Pellegrino | 68c | 1,025$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.19 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Wild | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Pellegrino | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…82fcbacked Wild | 53c | 946.43$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wild | 36c | 892$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.39 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Wild | 33c | 861$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.04 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Pellegrino | 52c | 613.52$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.52 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wild | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pellegrino | 66c | 499.69$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Wild | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Wild | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 33%172 W · 349 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Pellegrino | 68c | 423.11$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Pellegrino | 64c | 282.57$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Wild | 55c | 273$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wild | 36c | 242.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Wild | 51c | 227.24$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Wild | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Wild | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Pellegrino | 48c | 185.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…e7d6backed Wild | 55c | 182.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wild | 32c | 182$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Pellegrino | 50c | 178.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…4acabacked Pellegrino | 50c | 160.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…b9a6backed Wild | 51c | 149.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Wild | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc2…711fbacked Pellegrino | 41c | 123.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Pellegrino | 52c | 115.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…ea80backed Wild | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Wild | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Wild | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Pellegrino | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Pellegrino | 53c | 91.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb281…d32fbacked Pellegrino | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wild | 50c | 86.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Wild | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wild | 35c | 75.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Pellegrino | 63c | 71.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Pellegrino | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Wild | 38c | 62.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pellegrino | 40c | 59.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Pellegrino | 66c | 55.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wild | 46c | 49.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pellegrino | 47c | 46.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wild | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Pellegrino | 54c | 36.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Wild | 55c | 36.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,144 | 47.2%540 W · 604 L | +64.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wild | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pellegrino | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Wild | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pellegrino | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…8d8dbacked Wild | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Wild | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…abd6backed Wild | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Pellegrino | 76c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da1…2224backed Wild | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c57…d1d7backed Pellegrino | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…7e2ebacked Pellegrino | 70c | 19.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Wild | 60c | 19.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…6c89backed Wild | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…cc0dbacked Wild | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…beaabacked Wild | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Thiago Seyboth Wildthis page
- Pellegrino vs. Wild: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Pellegrino vs WildPellegrino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.