Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f3cb84572c55b7cb2e35478f73076d0401acd3790ef2060996ce8686b41a91a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cb6…2ff6backed No | 1c | 3,339$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 45c | 648.72$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.63 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 33c | 601.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.78 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 73c | 574.22$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed No | 17c | 444.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 30c | 423.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed No | 70c | 385.77$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.32 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 297.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.16 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 75c | 280.31$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 25c | 265.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.58 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 25c | 252.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 70c | 241.53$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 30c | 240.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 70c | 232.21$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.36 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 30c | 204.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…c83dbacked No | 20c | 197.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 11c | 190.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed Yes | 46c | 172.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 101 | 84.2%85 W · 16 L | +26.9wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…caf0backed Yes | 74c | 157$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…ee95backed No | 17c | 147.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed No | 22c | 136.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…7c31backed No | 22c | 125.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 104.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…2263backed Yes | 36c | 102.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe509…7387backed Yes | 21c | 101.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 75c | 95.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2fb6backed Yes | 30c | 95.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 77c | 94.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…38e4backed No | 13c | 80.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 27c | 76.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 59c | 75.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 16c | 72.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…1a3cbacked Yes | 27c | 72.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 25c | 72.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 38c | 72.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 34c | 68.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 68c | 66.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 65.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…f555backed Yes | 34c | 61.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 78c | 60.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 45c | 60.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 30c | 59.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 25c | 57.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 27c | 57.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 35c | 56.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 77c | 54.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…af52backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 37c | 48.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…835cbacked No | 66c | 48.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…a44abacked Yes | 75c | 46.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 42c | 44.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 25c | 44.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 69c | 43.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 39c | 42.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 48c | 41.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…1450backed No | 79c | 40.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -21.9wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 62c | 39.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…b1c7backed Yes | 27c | 38.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 148 | 26.4%39 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 27c | 37.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…f641backed No | 70c | 34.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 31c | 33.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 32c | 33.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 71c | 31.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 63c | 30.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 75c | 30.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 66c | 29.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 70c | 29.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…b153backed No | 63c | 29.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 63c | 28.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…7f15backed No | 49c | 28.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 72c | 27.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…cdc1backed No | 71c | 26.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…b861backed No | 73c | 26.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 25.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 79c | 24.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec21…c83fbacked No | 80c | 24.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 24.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked No | 64c | 24.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 73c | 23.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 73c | 23.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 72c | 21.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 70c | 19.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 69c | 16.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad74…e535backed No | 70c | 16.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…8668backed No | 70c | 15.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…f1d8backed No | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.42per pick | 71cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 73c | 14.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 84°F or higher on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.