TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,292
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,292 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over53c78,044$41,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,443.791,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under47c54,753$25,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,018.9985645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under47c10,843$5,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,721.333,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over53c9,607$5,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,081.6686548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under47c8,000$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2401758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Under47c6,012$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.3845445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5911…a5a8backed Under46c5,978$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,228.261442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c5,745$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,987.4610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over52c5,436$2,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,806.861,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under48c4,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under47c2,996$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.882,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c2,758$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.161,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under47c2,048$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.442,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c1,883$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.824,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over51c1,728$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.3936048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,602$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.66,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83264452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over52c1,521$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.5786653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under54c1,356$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.8311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under48c1,200$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9956253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42487750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under62c741.08$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.728,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under70c719.83$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.692,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over50c699.03$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.732,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over52c652.08$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9558352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under53c648.1$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.868,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Over54c642.24$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.812445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c622.52$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.4712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under48c599.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31245748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over32c525$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.278,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over11c510$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.14,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Under47c498.97$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.4515340.5%62 W · 91 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21295850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Under47c400$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21127244.9%122 W · 150 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007860.3%47 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1531,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over50c216$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10699447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Under49c196$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.969446.8%44 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over52c170.59$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.711,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c161.41$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.92,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under47c134$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0245045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under49c124.44$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9158746%270 W · 317 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under50c118.62$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6215153%80 W · 71 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under51c94.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.241,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Under47c84.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7511550.4%58 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under35c83.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2878052.2%407 W · 373 L+22.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Under48c83.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3219555.9%109 W · 86 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over46c81.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5347852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over53c76.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.635,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…f3aabacked Over53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Under46c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.513345.9%61 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e3e…637cbacked Under48c69.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.365962.7%37 W · 22 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over50c64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3212752%66 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under47c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9235650.6%180 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Under48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7613148.9%64 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Under49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6227448.2%132 W · 142 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under48c60.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5830554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.878854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x641d…eeedbacked Over52c59.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.035851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Over50c54.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2632652.5%171 W · 155 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3003…30f5backed Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.086261.3%38 W · 24 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under47c51.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.069642.7%41 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Over62c48.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.071,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b4…6855backed Over41c47.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5114149.6%70 W · 71 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Over54c46.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.340048.5%194 W · 206 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed Under56c45.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9517160.8%104 W · 67 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under48c44.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.161,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under47c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3217645.5%80 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5513152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec80…7298backed Over51c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under48c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.162853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1b…aa71backed Under47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7210048%48 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under64c22.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.141,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbded…48b7backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over74c17.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135967.8%40 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.