TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Bonn: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Samuele Pieri

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Samuele Pieriof Gilles Arnaud Bailly, Samuele Pieri
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,109 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Samuele Pieri71c5,996$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.539,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly32c3,966$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.614,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd3…0e24backed Samuele Pieri55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.369350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Samuele Pieri71c3,364$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.8611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50096035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly18c1,567$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9525139.4%99 W · 152 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Samuele Pieri75c1,363$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.924,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Samuele Pieri76c1,183$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.533,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35056244.1%248 W · 314 L-21.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly25c878.87$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly34c859.61$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29358931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly36c841.44$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.8762545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Samuele Pieri34c828.51$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.562,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a1…1c2ebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly28c689.29$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19312820.3%26 W · 102 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Samuele Pieri77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Samuele Pieri33c641$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.4736434.3%125 W · 239 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly67c641$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.473,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Samuele Pieri67c640.2$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.042,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly32c591.25$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.241,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly25c564$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14152133%172 W · 349 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2575912.1%92 W · 667 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d9…f1c5backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004318.6%8 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Samuele Pieri70c436.78$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.082,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Samuele Pieri65c436.16$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6641758.5%244 W · 173 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4de…7eccbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly23c413.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.048326.5%22 W · 61 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Samuele Pieri73c392.78$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3770537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly67c347.06$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23433551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Samuele Pieri34c330.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.451,04750%524 W · 523 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly30c329.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,57939.8%629 W · 950 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly43c329.44$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.856,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly31c313.51$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.654634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly66c303.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.371,10752.8%585 W · 522 L+2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b13…2f02backed Samuele Pieri34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1989040%36 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly32c281.58$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.182,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly14c261.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6178248.3%378 W · 404 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly42c236.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1421842.2%92 W · 126 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Samuele Pieri73c225.72$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.745,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly35c207.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.84,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly32c202.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8226346.8%123 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly27c169.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4531547.3%149 W · 166 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Samuele Pieri35c157.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6339646.5%184 W · 212 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly66c151.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9939648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Samuele Pieri67c147.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.516469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked Samuele Pieri35c142.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.57541.3%31 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly27c125.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3449943.1%215 W · 284 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Samuele Pieri34c114$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2411544.3%51 W · 64 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly66c106.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9917748%85 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b6…8ef6backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly29c101.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.997432.4%24 W · 50 L-8.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Samuele Pieri32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6994…fc1fbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011145%50 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…a656backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.997361.6%45 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly26c96.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.131,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Samuele Pieri78c94$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly27c93.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5355941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly62c93.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7343144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Samuele Pieri32c91.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.535132.2%113 W · 238 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec95…a2dcbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly30c89.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Samuele Pieri77c89.04$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.541,07654.8%590 W · 486 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Samuele Pieri35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.714634.8%16 W · 30 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly65c84.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.233,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Samuele Pieri64c84.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.21,47643.8%647 W · 829 L-26.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1112…90dbbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly30c81.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4715141.1%62 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358345.8%38 W · 45 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Samuele Pieri78c69.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.223530.2%71 W · 164 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly66c68.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0317147.4%81 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Samuele Pieri75c65.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3550268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018037.2%67 W · 113 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Samuele Pieri32c62.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.55,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Samuele Pieri61c60.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.376,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Samuele Pieri72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5297852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly25c54.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.695,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly42c52.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9639035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Samuele Pieri78c51.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.425556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe95…1a93backed Samuele Pieri33c48.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8111642.2%49 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Samuele Pieri32c47.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6112444.4%55 W · 69 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly36c45.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Samuele Pieri67c45.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.688,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly26c43.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2918356.3%103 W · 80 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Samuele Pieri78c42.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4876355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly32c41.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.411,25452.1%653 W · 601 L+45.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Samuele Pieri33c40.37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0512545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c55…3408backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.29162.6%57 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly66c37.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751,74548.1%840 W · 905 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6847…f1eabacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly66c37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4213770.1%96 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly44c36.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.272,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly67c35.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5599649.5%493 W · 503 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…37acbacked Samuele Pieri76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+84.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly31c32.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0710847.2%51 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5b70backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly38c31.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126432.8%21 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045139%176 W · 275 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d34…d7b5backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly43c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9652552.4%275 W · 250 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed Samuele Pieri69c24.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.79136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Samuele Pieri69c20.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.377851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…3afdbacked Samuele Pieri73c18.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.816258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4432…1a32backed Samuele Pieri75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0815079.3%119 W · 31 L+17.1wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+10.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.