TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Segovia: Yanki Erel vs Dominik Palan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yanki Erelof Yanki Erel, Dominik Palan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3171…b991backed Dominik Palan71c2,850$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.9933551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yanki Erel18c2,500$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.8231234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yanki Erel37c2,377$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.951,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf051…acd4backed Dominik Palan37c2,180$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007851.3%40 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Yanki Erel52c1,950$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.833,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Dominik Palan54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002450%12 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Dominik Palan52c1,846$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9551,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Dominik Palan53c1,792$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.2611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Yanki Erel39c1,410$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.2670041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yanki Erel60c1,323$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.927231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Yanki Erel39c1,248$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.6430353.5%162 W · 141 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dominik Palan32c1,147$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.148,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f7…d106backed Yanki Erel14c999.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.9912227%33 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dominik Palan69c955.95$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.198,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Dominik Palan54c907.91$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.279865.3%64 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Dominik Palan41c905.14$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.9527724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yanki Erel72c708.2$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.748,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Dominik Palan8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5075312.2%92 W · 661 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf8…5b60backed Yanki Erel34c583.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.2711559.1%68 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…b59cbacked Yanki Erel25c565.58$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.5710821.3%23 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yanki Erel48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yanki Erel22c496$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.881,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Yanki Erel52c453.88$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.011,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Dominik Palan56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22412746.5%59 W · 68 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yanki Erel57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Yanki Erel18c331.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.4722020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yanki Erel75c330.36$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.216,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Yanki Erel59c316.84$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.325,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Dominik Palan77c310.41$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.834,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Dominik Palan58c305.14$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.629640.6%39 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Dominik Palan51c300.4$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3136545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Dominik Palan11c292.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.621,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Dominik Palan76c276.77$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8829149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Yanki Erel26c252.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.852,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Dominik Palan53c218.17$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11544751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Yanki Erel46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3988935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Dominik Palan42c210.37$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.42,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Yanki Erel26c202$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.482,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yanki Erel17c200$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1664,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe35…6789backed Dominik Palan5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017835.4%63 W · 115 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f95…bf8ebacked Dominik Palan61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1227939.2%31 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bbb…0ac2backed Dominik Palan61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1228441.7%35 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Dominik Palan80c170.44$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9736264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Dominik Palan61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018038.3%69 W · 111 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Dominik Palan23c156.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.52,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50c…d404backed Yanki Erel63c153.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.762770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yanki Erel27c148.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.72,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yanki Erel24c145.86$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4672147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Dominik Palan77c132$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6492674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Yanki Erel76c131.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5814250%71 W · 71 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Dominik Palan61c130$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.311540%46 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Yanki Erel10c129.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2729554.6%161 W · 134 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yanki Erel71c129$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.761,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Dominik Palan53c122$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3762140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Dominik Palan56c107.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.998530.6%26 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Dominik Palan26c101.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd1…f311backed Dominik Palan25c100.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525551%130 W · 125 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yanki Erel47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.71,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Yanki Erel77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6994…fc1fbacked Yanki Erel50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010945.9%50 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yanki Erel77c99.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2336349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3280…aa03backed Dominik Palan43c94.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.611225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f56…50edbacked Dominik Palan58c90.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6927748.7%135 W · 142 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Dominik Palan54c86.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9344527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f50…1701backed Yanki Erel77c84.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.529656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Dominik Palan71c83.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9447651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yanki Erel25c78.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.226,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yanki Erel60c75.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.223,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Yanki Erel34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5336342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yanki Erel42c72.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2844138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yanki Erel34c71.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2748152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed Yanki Erel35c66.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1513450.7%68 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Dominik Palan28c66.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.286,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Yanki Erel62c66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2531856%178 W · 140 L+19.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Dominik Palan71c65.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2987741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Dominik Palan24c59.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1955941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…8c41backed Dominik Palan59c58.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.411936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yanki Erel18c56.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.021,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yanki Erel30c54.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.851,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba4…f918backed Dominik Palan61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010931.2%34 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd9…90b2backed Dominik Palan61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309532.6%31 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Yanki Erel75c48.83$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.211,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Dominik Palan71c48.51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.324165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yanki Erel58c44.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.021,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Yanki Erel26c44.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4817131.6%54 W · 117 L-21.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Dominik Palan54c44.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2428954.3%157 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Yanki Erel42c39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6838459.9%230 W · 154 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c10…30f1backed Dominik Palan79c38.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.631650%8 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x36a5…445fbacked Dominik Palan32c38.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45f2…722ebacked Yanki Erel79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.973372.7%24 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Dominik Palan79c37.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7982958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Dominik Palan48c35.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.979052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccbb…3bedbacked Dominik Palan56c34.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.532857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Dominik Palan63c34.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.758461.9%52 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Dominik Palan74c32.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9395050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Dominik Palan51c31.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.994,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed Yanki Erel46c30.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4235555.5%197 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Dominik Palan43c30.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0954141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe01…b45dbacked Yanki Erel77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.922377.6%173 W · 50 L+0.6wins0.00per pick77cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Dominik Palan59c29.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6948738.4%187 W · 300 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.