World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e4d6c57c2ea6bc5b1583cc31de12e0a2aba1b0b54b8feda827a1f40c4a28ba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 41c | 1,714$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.98 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 4c | 1,509$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 154 | 21.4%33 W · 121 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 57c | 779.47$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.93 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 36c | 559.9$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.39 | 471 | 37.6%177 W · 294 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 59c | 554.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.23 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 63c | 516.89$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.17 | 309 | 44%136 W · 173 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 31c | 516.1$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 47c | 427.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.93 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 71c | 405.79$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.18 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 44c | 405.19$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.77 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 22c | 398.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.91 | 147 | 17%25 W · 122 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked No | 59c | 336.89$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 39c | 331.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 289.96$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.62 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Yes | 33c | 283.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.97 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 8c | 229.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 106 | 14.2%15 W · 91 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 24c | 213.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 204.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 247 | 60.3%149 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6235…7a5ebacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 28c | 189.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 436 | 49.5%216 W · 220 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 41c | 186$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 374 | 58%217 W · 157 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked Yes | 28c | 174.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 43c | 171.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 35c | 166.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 37c | 160$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 102 | 9.8%10 W · 92 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +116%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c43…1608backed No | 64c | 155.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 37c | 148.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 50c | 145.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 256 | 52%133 W · 123 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 145$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 319 | 53.3%170 W · 149 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…5cdebacked Yes | 21c | 142.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…ccccbacked Yes | 78c | 141.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4550…0f28backed No | 72c | 139.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…03c7backed Yes | 22c | 139.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +132%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 50c | 136.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed No | 60c | 132.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 28c | 131.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 553 | 51.2%283 W · 270 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…52dbbacked No | 46c | 128.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked No | 64c | 122.49$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…5b62backed Yes | 18c | 121.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 53c | 119.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 43c | 118$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 31c | 118$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 51c | 115$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 60c | 112.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 25c | 111.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 44c | 109.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c0…eb75backed No | 60c | 105.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 51c | 102.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked No | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed Yes | 41c | 98.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…cc9abacked Yes | 13c | 97.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 16c | 96.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 43c | 94.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 19c | 93.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 41c | 93.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 233 | 55.8%130 W · 103 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…149bbacked No | 63c | 81.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 32c | 79.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…2131backed Yes | 27c | 79.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 37c | 78.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 60c | 78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 44c | 76.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 39c | 76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 338 | 55.3%187 W · 151 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 34c | 74.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 20c | 74.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7aa…37b8backed Yes | 42c | 73.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 56c | 73.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 214 | 64%137 W · 77 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 57c | 67.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 43c | 67.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 36c | 62.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 20c | 62.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 21c | 61.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 164 | 55.5%91 W · 73 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…0020backed Yes | 51c | 60.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550e…94dbbacked Yes | 40c | 60.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…6595backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…7e1ebacked Yes | 19c | 56.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda61…2b5fbacked Yes | 38c | 56.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 43c | 56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 27c | 53.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked No | 75c | 53.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…1e2abacked Yes | 28c | 51.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 49c | 50.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 44c | 50.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa4…eae5backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…3257backed Yes | 23c | 48.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 30c | 47.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked Yes | 27c | 46.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…db23backed Yes | 45c | 44.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…56a3backed No | 52c | 44.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…e802backed Yes | 27c | 44.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…a526backed Yes | 80c | 43.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb530…3c03backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked No | 57c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6845backed No | 49c | 40.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.