Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fcdf292b7baacf2bb0c71ffffb4309b4950a1632e697931788b8ff6110e5539
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marin Cilicof Sho Shimabukuro, Marin Cilic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x772b…1840backed Sho Shimabukuro | 9c | 12,174$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marin Cilic | 67c | 9,542$6,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Marin Cilic | 73c | 7,782$5,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.04 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Sho Shimabukuro | 27c | 4,556$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Sho Shimabukuro | 25c | 3,999$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.81 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Sho Shimabukuro | 47c | 3,936$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.7 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 26c | 3,657$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.14 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Marin Cilic | 57c | 3,485$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.44 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Marin Cilic | 54c | 2,995$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.3 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sho Shimabukuro | 45c | 2,785$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.84 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marin Cilic | 66c | 2,686$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.41 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Marin Cilic | 55c | 2,364$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 47c | 2,117$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Sho Shimabukuro | 46c | 2,060$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.6 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Marin Cilic | 61c | 1,431$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.02 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Sho Shimabukuro | 46c | 1,416$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.48 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Marin Cilic | 69c | 1,278$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.98 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Sho Shimabukuro | 47c | 1,010$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.79 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Marin Cilic | 53c | 959.43$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.93 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…3facbacked Marin Cilic | 54c | 916.78$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.72 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Sho Shimabukuro | 43c | 777$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.11 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 46c | 728.91$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.3 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Marin Cilic | 72c | 723.65$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.48 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Marin Cilic | 73c | 581.5$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Marin Cilic | 56c | 561.12$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.15 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…e773backed Marin Cilic | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sho Shimabukuro | 43c | 504$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Sho Shimabukuro | 39c | 502.61$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Sho Shimabukuro | 43c | 489.84$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Marin Cilic | 75c | 480$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 38c | 448.23$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.35 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…d87cbacked Marin Cilic | 70c | 427.42$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.32 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e889backed Sho Shimabukuro | 37c | 421.76$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sho Shimabukuro | 33c | 335.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Marin Cilic | 64c | 312.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.58 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Sho Shimabukuro | 44c | 299.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.71 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Marin Cilic | 67c | 281$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Marin Cilic | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Sho Shimabukuro | 43c | 261.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Marin Cilic | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Marin Cilic | 64c | 233$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Sho Shimabukuro | 44c | 229.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Sho Shimabukuro | 46c | 217.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Sho Shimabukuro | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 44c | 213.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2a77backed Marin Cilic | 77c | 212.87$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 69 | 76.8%53 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2799backed Sho Shimabukuro | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Marin Cilic | 56c | 205$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Marin Cilic | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Marin Cilic | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Marin Cilic | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Marin Cilic | 55c | 184.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Marin Cilic | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Marin Cilic | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Marin Cilic | 56c | 179.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 31c | 176$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Marin Cilic | 72c | 174.66$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Sho Shimabukuro | 38c | 169.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Sho Shimabukuro | 40c | 154.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Sho Shimabukuro | 36c | 145.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Marin Cilic | 66c | 143.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Marin Cilic | 57c | 139.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…14c2backed Marin Cilic | 57c | 136.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Marin Cilic | 72c | 128.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Sho Shimabukuro | 39c | 121$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Sho Shimabukuro | 43c | 117$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Marin Cilic | 62c | 113.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Sho Shimabukuro | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Marin Cilic | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Marin Cilic | 61c | 108.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Sho Shimabukuro | 43c | 105.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Sho Shimabukuro | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Sho Shimabukuro | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Marin Cilic | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Marin Cilic | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Sho Shimabukuro | 36c | 96.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Marin Cilic | 57c | 93.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Marin Cilic | 52c | 93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sho Shimabukuro | 49c | 92.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…c1f8backed Sho Shimabukuro | 47c | 92.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 27c | 89.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Marin Cilic | 56c | 88.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Marin Cilic | 55c | 79.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Marin Cilic | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Sho Shimabukuro | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Marin Cilic | 56c | 62.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…7c1ebacked Marin Cilic | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Sho Shimabukuro | 45c | 60.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Marin Cilic | 62c | 60.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Sho Shimabukuro | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Sho Shimabukuro | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Sho Shimabukuro | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Marin Cilic | 72c | 58.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Marin Cilic | 70c | 57.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shimabukuro vs CilicCilic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.