Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0637a75336433cbce46c92e29ac5d62121dc9961517b63a3b8fb7403037d484
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 11c | 2,168$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.21 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 26c | 1,593$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.38 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 10c | 959.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 21c | 709.04$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 663.06$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.11 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 481.2$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…d8cdbacked Yes | 19c | 422.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4551…d019backed Yes | 28c | 405.85$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 5c | 395.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 9c | 373.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 79c | 359.69$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 21c | 351.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 337.33$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 26c | 301.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 69c | 291.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 71c | 279$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf1…e06bbacked No | 72c | 276.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 259.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…436abacked Yes | 15c | 247.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 29c | 234.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…a7c3backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 67c | 187$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed Yes | 9c | 175.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 67c | 173.84$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…8605backed Yes | 26c | 169.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 6c | 165.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc16…1094backed Yes | 26c | 153.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 143.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 125.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 36c | 124.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 119.84$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 62c | 98.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 80c | 93.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 62c | 93.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 76c | 89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 76c | 88.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 76c | 86.95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 36c | 85.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 75c | 83.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 31c | 81.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 27c | 80.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…b528backed No | 62c | 80.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 68c | 76.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 16c | 75.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…29afbacked No | 63c | 74.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 283 | 44.5%126 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…4330backed Yes | 33c | 66.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 68c | 65.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b2…615dbacked Yes | 39c | 63.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 76c | 62.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971d…19bcbacked No | 69c | 62.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 39c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 34c | 57.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed No | 64c | 57.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 31c | 56.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 66c | 53.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 52.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 76c | 51.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b88…a191backed Yes | 22c | 51.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 65c | 45.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 31c | 44.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 73c | 43.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 64c | 43.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 75c | 42.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 30c | 41.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 30c | 37.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…1577backed Yes | 32c | 37.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 64c | 33.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…844dbacked No | 78c | 29.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 128 | 76.6%98 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…40cdbacked No | 63c | 29.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 72c | 28.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 71c | 27.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 74c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 69c | 25.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…9156backed No | 79c | 25.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…d093backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 150 | 32%48 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 24.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 74c | 23.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 76c | 23.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 67c | 22.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 63c | 21.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 62c | 21.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 64c | 20.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 75c | 20.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.