TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Riddle vs AGELITE (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Riddleof Riddle, AGELITE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,444
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,444 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e3c…d370backed Riddle72c6,419$4,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.16785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed AGELITE30c6,347$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.291,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcadf…1f60backed Riddle70c5,550$3,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.552867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Riddle73c2,105$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.833966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked AGELITE27c2,070$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.728743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed AGELITE29c1,685$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.652441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…d6a4backed Riddle61c1,617$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.781471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed AGELITE30c1,283$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.9831634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked AGELITE29c1,198$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.384838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked AGELITE20c1,075$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.211,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1c…b465backed Riddle71c881$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.493770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked AGELITE29c864.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked AGELITE29c840$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.62433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed AGELITE28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19614032.9%46 W · 94 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked AGELITE16c690.1$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.770043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked AGELITE2c674.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Riddle54c572.13$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.131662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Riddle79c560.57$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.57771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed Riddle72c537.9$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.611681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked Riddle71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1456668.2%45 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed AGELITE57c499.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked AGELITE33c499.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16531046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked AGELITE17c497.8$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8277744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed AGELITE18c487.62$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.772133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+76%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed AGELITE18c465.15$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.14535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed AGELITE29c440.69$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.83938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked AGELITE30c416$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.81931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked AGELITE29c407.68$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2311450%57 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed AGELITE29c406.27$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Riddle46c369.27$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5242140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked AGELITE17c310.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.211,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Riddle72c305.21$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2662856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Riddle72c279.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2413455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Riddle73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9710975.2%82 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc91c…bf19backed AGELITE10c255.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed AGELITE26c242.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8915038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed AGELITE56c241.56$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8914254.9%78 W · 64 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed AGELITE14c230.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9233838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Riddle37c207.57$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.773231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed AGELITE33c201.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4774642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed AGELITE13c193$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.698839.8%35 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked AGELITE29c187$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.871,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked AGELITE34c172.9$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1515833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed AGELITE29c168.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.752123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed AGELITE30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed AGELITE26c157.22$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7524140.2%97 W · 144 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…3256backed AGELITE66c150.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed AGELITE29c145$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1530544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed AGELITE20c144.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5877929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e2a…4fd0backed AGELITE30c141$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.31118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed AGELITE29c140.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7123732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Riddle73c137.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.686454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aff…9200backed AGELITE57c137$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.099139.6%36 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed AGELITE18c127.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.47044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x912b…bc67backed Riddle55c116.09$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed AGELITE26c107$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.828641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Riddle50c105$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9525444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed AGELITE29c103$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.875032%16 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…df38backed Riddle50c100.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.122955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0720backed AGELITE12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked AGELITE25c89.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.511,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc78d…e9f0backed AGELITE28c88.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed AGELITE44c88.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9893049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b2…433cbacked AGELITE43c86.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed AGELITE29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…813cbacked AGELITE16c83.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked AGELITE29c83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9896245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked AGELITE22c73.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4390733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed AGELITE28c71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.885520%11 W · 44 L-11.5wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-57%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked AGELITE30c70.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3218148.6%88 W · 93 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Riddle43c70$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1299846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked AGELITE28c69.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7760154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed AGELITE30c67.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3923836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed AGELITE29c64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.462524%6 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked AGELITE28c62.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.638240.2%33 W · 49 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed AGELITE35c61.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6569722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked AGELITE30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815334.6%53 W · 100 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked AGELITE59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2540254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1930…691cbacked Riddle72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed AGELITE29c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0817948%86 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed AGELITE30c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.320248.5%98 W · 104 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked AGELITE30c50.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.161650%8 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x422d…7e39backed Riddle70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.055858.6%34 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Riddle39c49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0627947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Riddle39c49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.137545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d5…2c23backed AGELITE64c46.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011367.3%76 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Riddle68c44.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4242051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed AGELITE60c39.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3551749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed AGELITE33c37.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3123733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…755fbacked AGELITE30c35.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.645759.6%34 W · 23 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Riddle73c35.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6211754.7%64 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Riddle65c35.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2115255.9%85 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed AGELITE35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2566650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…74d3backed AGELITE73c34.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.434165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Riddle72c33.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5616451.8%85 W · 79 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1aa…bf0fbacked Riddle67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.854067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x11ee…e6c6backed AGELITE53c28.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8a…2c0fbacked Riddle77c24.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Riddle67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.734571%245 W · 100 L-1.5wins0.00per pick71cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b19…0d42backed AGELITE61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.