MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5c91a275b76d4c50d92eee50d17cf08a7bcb2886450a40eac125b533831b9cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 70,570$35,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,285 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 50c | 39,472$19,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,749.53 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 33,035$16,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,563.93 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 10,884$5,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,456.6 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 7,001$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 6,577$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.04 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 49c | 5,087$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.26 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 4,881$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 3,417$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 2,340$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,947$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 51c | 1,928$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.58 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 1,781$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Under | 51c | 1,360$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.6 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 738.27$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.6 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 643$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.5 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 51c | 540.45$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.82 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 525.58$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.79 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 519.65$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.83 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 46c | 418.59$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.04 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 45c | 390.02$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.6 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 371.32$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.66 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 56c | 368.35$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.33 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 57c | 325.42$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 52c | 294.46$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 56c | 273.02$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 50c | 262.45$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 33c | 221.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.19 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 51c | 214.37$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 53c | 189.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 43c | 187$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 50c | 177.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 51c | 144.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 50c | 132.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 50c | 119.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 65c | 118$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 65c | 118$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 55c | 105$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 53c | 96.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 48c | 94.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 52c | 94.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 59c | 87.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 54c | 75.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 50c | 75.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Under | 48c | 74.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 51c | 58.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 45c | 55.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 50c | 55.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 42c | 45.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 30.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 44c | 30.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…21dcbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 64c | 28.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…f504backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 50c | 25.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 48c | 23.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 59c | 20.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under | 64c | 16.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.