MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1d603aea09c645bb952011bd7dfa352671dc0949e89b926e3d01af5c94aca71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Seattle Mariners, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 33,333$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,333.18 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 18,912$11,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,640.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 17,882$8,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,225.71 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 15,854$6,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,259.8 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 14,402$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,624.85 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 12,733$6,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,303.29 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 12,480$4,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,943.27 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 11,835$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,689.72 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 11,264$5,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,591.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 6,226$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 5,940$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.64 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 5,742$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.45 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 5,583$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.82 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 5,212$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.62 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 5,168$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.71 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 5,103$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.47 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 6c | 4,885$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 3,748$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.76 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 2,899$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.54 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,727$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.19 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,318$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.58 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,730$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 1,581$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.11 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,427$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.63 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,326$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.62 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,227$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.45 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Seattle Mariners | 3c | 1,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,045$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.61 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,019$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.41 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 1,001$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.52 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 977.58$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.22 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 976.38$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.72 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners | 32c | 886.32$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.9 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Seattle Mariners | 6c | 800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 758.58$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.06 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 708.17$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.72 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 699.05$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.13 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 684.05$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.07 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 670.61$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 600$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 527.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Seattle Mariners | 5c | 522.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 517$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 505.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.84 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 486$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 434.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 424.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 417.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 411$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.51 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 408.18$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.54 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 403.76$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.92 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 370.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 352.66$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.74 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 349.52$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.11 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Seattle Mariners | 7c | 343$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 341$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 317.72$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.89 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 315.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.24 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 299.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 294.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.34 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 287.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 282$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 260.52$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.07 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 235$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 233.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 223.94$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 214.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 213.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 191.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 164.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 164.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 162$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 150.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 149.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 140.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 134.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 132.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 125$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 123.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 120.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.