Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa64194f0a51d1eadb7287af1d23ebbad46874fe0ef5c7c6f4c23bc92e6d90187

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: No Hoodwinkof Ilbirs eSports, No Hoodwink
Resolved: Aug 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,738 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd06c…cdafbacked Ilbirs eSports	42c	5,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.96	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b1f…d6d5backed No Hoodwink	58c	1,718$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.14	79	55.7%44 W · 35 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed Ilbirs eSports	44c	1,611$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.7	95	33.7%32 W · 63 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No Hoodwink	58c	1,483$860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.76	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebb9…1d15backed No Hoodwink	59c	1,442$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.75	95	35.8%34 W · 61 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Ilbirs eSports	19c	1,295$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.98	700	52.3%366 W · 334 L	+47.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a013backed Ilbirs eSports	45c	1,112$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.35	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No Hoodwink	56c	1,018$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.29	237	36.7%87 W · 150 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No Hoodwink	57c	896.41$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.98	381	42%160 W · 221 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed No Hoodwink	70c	679.58$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.67	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No Hoodwink	60c	640$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.94	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked No Hoodwink	56c	615.94$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.53	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked Ilbirs eSports	50c	600.3$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	106	37.7%40 W · 66 L	-9.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x242c…ddd2backed Ilbirs eSports	29c	562.05$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	214	47.2%101 W · 113 L	+16.7wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Ilbirs eSports	19c	535.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Ilbirs eSports	41c	530.68$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.58	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Ilbirs eSports	40c	505$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.18	691	32.6%225 W · 466 L	-26.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6cf…d3f0backed No Hoodwink	58c	500$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	174	49.4%86 W · 88 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed No Hoodwink	55c	476.28$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.32	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Ilbirs eSports	42c	475.64$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.01	462	40.7%188 W · 274 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…fd05backed Ilbirs eSports	43c	465.12$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	+7.7wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked Ilbirs eSports	45c	440.52$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	122	52.5%64 W · 58 L	+17.2wins	+0.14per pick	38cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No Hoodwink	58c	431.03$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.03	410	37.3%153 W · 257 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Ilbirs eSports	49c	411.53$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	224	50%112 W · 112 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Ilbirs eSports	42c	399.99$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	210	45.7%96 W · 114 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a8…8c5cbacked No Hoodwink	58c	399$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.73	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed Ilbirs eSports	17c	397$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.05	191	35.6%68 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Ilbirs eSports	42c	360$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.2	88	42%37 W · 51 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdc…9704backed No Hoodwink	80c	345$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf201…f884backed No Hoodwink	58c	344.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.83	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+8.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Ilbirs eSports	46c	344.43$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.73	669	47.1%315 W · 354 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked No Hoodwink	59c	320.68$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.48	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Ilbirs eSports	44c	313.38$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.21	614	49.5%304 W · 310 L	+9.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No Hoodwink	56c	265.82$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.03	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No Hoodwink	58c	222.72$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.54	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Ilbirs eSports	45c	218.15$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.95	261	54.8%143 W · 118 L	+11.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed No Hoodwink	58c	210.99$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89	195	47.2%92 W · 103 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked No Hoodwink	57c	210.53$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.53	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Ilbirs eSports	35c	206.65$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.03	899	38%342 W · 557 L	-45.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fcc…ee29backed Ilbirs eSports	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	174	51.7%90 W · 84 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No Hoodwink	56c	197.58$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.7	589	43%253 W · 336 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked No Hoodwink	57c	180.6$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.29	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked No Hoodwink	61c	179.81$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.91	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d9…b188backed No Hoodwink	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+7.5wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No Hoodwink	61c	164.16$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.34	892	38.1%340 W · 552 L	-42.7wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed No Hoodwink	60c	155.61$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.81	286	50%143 W · 143 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Ilbirs eSports	43c	154.59$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.48	372	53%197 W · 175 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Ilbirs eSports	19c	152.61$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	813	45.1%367 W · 446 L	-26.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3b…be27backed Ilbirs eSports	15c	150.61$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.59	210	47.6%100 W · 110 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked No Hoodwink	58c	146.55$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.55	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x142f…19f9backed Ilbirs eSports	50c	144$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	234	42.7%100 W · 134 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked No Hoodwink	58c	140$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.8	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ac…1694backed No Hoodwink	74c	132.12$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.78	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Ilbirs eSports	72c	128.75$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.7	136	45.6%62 W · 74 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed Ilbirs eSports	79c	126.46$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	59%36 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3214…cfcbbacked Ilbirs eSports	47c	120$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.8	163	61.3%100 W · 63 L	+8.3wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x422d…7e39backed No Hoodwink	57c	109.68$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.68	124	52.4%65 W · 59 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4903…5929backed Ilbirs eSports	44c	108.59$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.78	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d8…c931backed No Hoodwink	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Ilbirs eSports	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	536	34%182 W · 354 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Ilbirs eSports	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	416	32.7%136 W · 280 L	-37.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No Hoodwink	57c	99.99$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ilbirs eSports	41c	99.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.93	421	46.6%196 W · 225 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ilbirs eSports	42c	95.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.59	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff77…b6b4backed Ilbirs eSports	42c	92.86$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed No Hoodwink	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	595	56.6%337 W · 258 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765b…5043backed Ilbirs eSports	29c	87.42$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Ilbirs eSports	40c	80$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	134	44%59 W · 75 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Ilbirs eSports	43c	80$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No Hoodwink	55c	73$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.58	683	45.8%313 W · 370 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked No Hoodwink	58c	70.69$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.69	404	42.3%171 W · 233 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Ilbirs eSports	33c	68.15$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.22	426	39.4%168 W · 258 L	-39.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Ilbirs eSports	44c	68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed No Hoodwink	60c	64.99$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	265	50.6%134 W · 131 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Ilbirs eSports	47c	64.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.23	312	51.3%160 W · 152 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Ilbirs eSports	47c	64.28$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-5.7wins	-0.25per pick	38cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x79cc…ad4cbacked Ilbirs eSports	45c	63.76$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.69	106	35.8%38 W · 68 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed Ilbirs eSports	46c	63.26$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb777…8703backed Ilbirs eSports	28c	59.04$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed No Hoodwink	58c	53.4$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.43	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Ilbirs eSports	68c	52.33$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.68	626	50.5%316 W · 310 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No Hoodwink	53c	51.39$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.9	569	45.2%257 W · 312 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked No Hoodwink	53c	51.02$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.98	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Ilbirs eSports	46c	50.05$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.02	109	37.6%41 W · 68 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed No Hoodwink	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	675	55%371 W · 304 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Ilbirs eSports	39c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	194	40.7%79 W · 115 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No Hoodwink	58c	50$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa108…573ebacked No Hoodwink	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed No Hoodwink	58c	49.95$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.98	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed No Hoodwink	33c	46.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.89	438	60.5%265 W · 173 L	+44.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No Hoodwink	44c	46.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.62	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-13.4wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe07d…4ee1backed No Hoodwink	58c	44$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.48	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d47…0592backed Ilbirs eSports	45c	42.22$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Ilbirs eSports	52c	40.15$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	377	45.9%173 W · 204 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked No Hoodwink	56c	39.43$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.35	735	54.7%402 W · 333 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Ilbirs eSports	45c	38.96$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.53	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ilbirs eSports	44c	38.09$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.76	935	46.4%434 W · 501 L	-15.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f1…f02dbacked No Hoodwink	58c	37.52$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.76	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Ilbirs eSports	42c	34.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.18	148	48%71 W · 77 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Ilbirs eSports	36c	30.7$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	535	38.5%206 W · 329 L	-26.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsthis page
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs No Hoodwink - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs No Hoodwink - Game 2 WinnerNo Hoodwink won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event