Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf6e1339b67f06b5ff982c2b14b1d9829e612b21a6249677d4c4a8a421977004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 53c | 1,525$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.92 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 44c | 1,442$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.28 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 53c | 778.7$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.02 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 77c | 676.29$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.87 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 55c | 610.63$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.74 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…739abacked No | 56c | 574.49$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.42 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 62c | 532.43$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.37 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 35c | 501.46$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.45 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 36c | 490.93$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.9 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 48c | 458.15$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.11 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 64c | 449$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.4 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked No | 22c | 434.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 34c | 380$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 41c | 372.94$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 31c | 328.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.02 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 24c | 284.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 38c | 261.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.32 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 31c | 254.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 46c | 246.43$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 58c | 244.77$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 26c | 237.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 34c | 232.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked No | 8c | 216.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed No | 38c | 216$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 193.27$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 39c | 193.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 31c | 188.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.24 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 43c | 188.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 58c | 172.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed No | 70c | 163.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 42c | 161$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 50c | 143.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 42c | 139.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 37c | 135.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 57c | 124.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…c974backed No | 12c | 122.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 80c | 122$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 53c | 120.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 68c | 118.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 37c | 117.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 49c | 117.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 39c | 117$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…2c83backed Yes | 43c | 116.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 63c | 114.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 65c | 111.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 38c | 109.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed No | 19c | 105.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 141 | 19.1%27 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 50c | 104.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked No | 57c | 99.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 52c | 98.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 35c | 98.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 40c | 97.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed No | 76c | 96.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 93.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 36c | 92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 42c | 91.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 40c | 91.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed No | 65c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c3…73fdbacked Yes | 40c | 87.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 65c | 84.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 45c | 83.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 59c | 83.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 37c | 80.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 49c | 77.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 28c | 74.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 66c | 73.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 37c | 67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 53c | 64.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 63.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 36c | 63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…fe00backed Yes | 48c | 62.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 60.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…02babacked Yes | 71c | 57.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 55c | 55.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e2…9177backed No | 62c | 53.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 35c | 52.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 57c | 52.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 40c | 50.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 80c | 50.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…1398backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…9c59backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…a03cbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…68ffbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…c97ebacked Yes | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or below on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.