Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafa408ed392c405a2f47923f502dbca57c5d0b982ce42da57dab09a3d6953124
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde31…df79backed No | 55c | 81,504$44,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,716.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 45c | 59,025$26,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,403.76 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 9,606$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.62 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 55c | 4,478$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.63 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 53c | 4,061$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.94 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 2,152$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.07 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 29c | 1,775$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.66 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,375$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.75 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 23c | 975.23$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.27 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 51c | 816.23$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.28 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 670.08$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 554.69$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.58 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 38c | 466.15$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 46c | 448.94$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.67 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 45c | 433.24$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.28 | 388 | 55.4%215 W · 173 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 49c | 403.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.56 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…6122backed Yes | 16c | 363.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.68 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 46c | 339$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 78c | 298.77$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.04 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 45c | 283.86$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 31c | 249.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.33 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 22c | 209.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 52c | 200.78$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 45c | 196.01$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 45c | 166.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 45c | 152$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 45c | 144.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 46c | 105.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 45c | 98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 50c | 86.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 46c | 86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 344 | 49.1%169 W · 175 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Yes | 45c | 85.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 45c | 85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 47c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 47c | 64.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Yes | 45c | 63.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -25.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 22c | 56.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 45c | 54.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 46c | 50.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 139 | 68.3%95 W · 44 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 46c | 48.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 42c | 44.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 45c | 43.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yes | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 53c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 62c | 35.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 113 | 68.1%77 W · 36 L | +15.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 52c | 31.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed No | 52c | 29.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 45c | 28.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 55c | 26.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 429 | 57.1%245 W · 184 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 75c | 20.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Yes | 76c | 13.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will FK Borac Banja Luka vs. KF Víkingur end in a draw?No won
- Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.