Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb98f27526d4699e6b84568f2cad70639ee0f36256eaad52b5b5c2428d584d9bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x146f…9410backed Yes | 50c | 1,006$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…db74backed Yes | 34c | 742.74$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.59 | 260 | 25%65 W · 195 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 40c | 502.95$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.62 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 39c | 499.36$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.36 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 42c | 467.8$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.82 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 53c | 407.32$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.83 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 41c | 401$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.78 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 365.95$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc17…886abacked No | 45c | 311$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 72 | 81.9%59 W · 13 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 31c | 305$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.1 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…2c94backed No | 16c | 299.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 149 | 19.5%29 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 289.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.49 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 41c | 282.43$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…e130backed No | 49c | 280.17$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 27c | 246.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.42 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…a602backed Yes | 50c | 235.01$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 53c | 221.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 68c | 214.81$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…d8a9backed Yes | 72c | 205.93$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 79 | 79.7%63 W · 16 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed No | 76c | 197.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…96bdbacked No | 56c | 179.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 178.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 34c | 173.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.58 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 50c | 167.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 52c | 166.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 51c | 156.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…7307backed Yes | 34c | 143.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 53c | 133.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 35c | 123.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 50c | 112.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 108.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf3…369dbacked No | 79c | 101.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked No | 49c | 99.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 49c | 98.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 97.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked Yes | 46c | 96.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 89.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…e2e6backed No | 65c | 89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 35c | 88.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 86.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 69c | 83.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 44c | 82.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 41c | 82.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 45c | 75.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 49c | 69.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 57c | 67.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 48c | 66.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 52c | 66.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 23c | 64.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…e694backed No | 77c | 61.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 41c | 59.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 33c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…0a0dbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 49c | 58.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 55c | 58.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 62c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…004ebacked Yes | 48c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 283 | 68.6%194 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 19c | 52.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…ba1bbacked No | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 190 | 71.6%136 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 49c | 51.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 44c | 50.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 52c | 49.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 52c | 47.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 61c | 47.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked No | 79c | 45.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 48c | 42.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 68c | 41.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed Yes | 45c | 40.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…a808backed Yes | 29c | 40.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 56c | 38.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 40c | 37.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 35c | 33.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 60c | 33.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…1733backed No | 64c | 33.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 33c | 33.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…3d85backed No | 50c | 31.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 58c | 27.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked Yes | 51c | 27.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 48c | 26.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 51c | 26.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…35c9backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 57c | 23.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 59c | 20.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 271 | 69%187 W · 84 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…32d8backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.