TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8627…5382backed Under66c12,500$8,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,267.3422355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Over34c3,315$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.9896048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Over35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05031953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over34c2,991$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.478036.3%29 W · 51 L-13.6wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-37.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9929447.6%140 W · 154 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over70c1,429$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.992339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under37c1,359$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.1834151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Over35c1,180$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.8914753.1%78 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under67c701.49$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.4916150.9%82 W · 79 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Over35c427.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018841%77 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Under65c310$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.537950.9%193 W · 186 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Over35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over25c299.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8317241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under65c290$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.537342.9%160 W · 213 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Under66c250.08$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.621656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over20c241$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.191,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under65c208.58$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8269741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…03c1backed Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7021051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Under77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4616047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over35c151.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1826440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over58c150.35$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.561,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over35c149.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.782,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under60c129.41$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6997854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over36c119.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1474637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over24c118.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.021,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over33c115$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.952,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over35c113.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7634340.5%139 W · 204 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over27c107.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.111,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under74c107.06$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.712,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1917632.4%57 W · 119 L-15.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under75c98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.075837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under65c92.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.391,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under64c92.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.837343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aeb…22fbbacked Over36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-59.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf5a…9d75backed Over24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f5…6df5backed Over39c64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257367.1%49 W · 24 L+12.8wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+43.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over46c62.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.791,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Under75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+225.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under57c51.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9152750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0840231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4290…af07backed Under66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.453148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked Under79c44.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.244555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over37c38.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.281,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Under68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6219553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under76c33.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0537948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Under72c33.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.179655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked Over38c32.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510138.6%39 W · 62 L-12.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over40c29.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8918639.2%73 W · 113 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under66c29.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0518648.9%91 W · 95 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Over64c27.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8530543%131 W · 174 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under67c22.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.693,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under64c18.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.76248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Under74c16.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2223458.5%137 W · 97 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.