Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton: Anton Shepp vs Mark Ceban
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbef403f7019dde84e4e298201ce83700342593ea83c07657379e301c1f91eabf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mark Cebanof Anton Shepp, Mark Ceban
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Anton Shepp | 3c | 13,985$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.61 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Mark Ceban | 42c | 1,898$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.07 | 647 | 53.9%349 W · 298 L | +32.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Mark Ceban | 40c | 1,614$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.4 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Anton Shepp | 59c | 1,418$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.68 | 718 | 52.8%379 W · 339 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Anton Shepp | 60c | 828.97$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.38 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Mark Ceban | 65c | 800.01$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.27 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Anton Shepp | 51c | 770.99$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.69 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Mark Ceban | 43c | 728.06$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.21 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mark Ceban | 40c | 599.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.28 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anton Shepp | 59c | 532.71$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.3 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Anton Shepp | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mark Ceban | 38c | 496.08$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.62 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mark Ceban | 78c | 489.16$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Anton Shepp | 60c | 485.48$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.29 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mark Ceban | 40c | 457.3$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.87 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mark Ceban | 45c | 428.18$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Anton Shepp | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Mark Ceban | 74c | 403.57$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Mark Ceban | 40c | 349.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.7 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Mark Ceban | 39c | 340.58$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.49 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Anton Shepp | 59c | 340.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 299 | 53.5%160 W · 139 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mark Ceban | 64c | 294.03$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Anton Shepp | 33c | 285.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mark Ceban | 75c | 263.95$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Mark Ceban | 68c | 262.81$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mark Ceban | 67c | 250.38$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Anton Shepp | 32c | 249.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mark Ceban | 41c | 242.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mark Ceban | 41c | 228.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Anton Shepp | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Anton Shepp | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 530 | 44.9%238 W · 292 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Anton Shepp | 26c | 199.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 1,371 | 44.5%610 W · 761 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Anton Shepp | 47c | 171.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Anton Shepp | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 443 | 59.8%265 W · 178 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Mark Ceban | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 965 | 41.5%400 W · 565 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Anton Shepp | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Anton Shepp | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 30.6%70 W · 159 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Anton Shepp | 60c | 161.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Anton Shepp | 29c | 152$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Anton Shepp | 13c | 149.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 421 | 30.2%127 W · 294 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Anton Shepp | 60c | 120.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Mark Ceban | 42c | 119.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Anton Shepp | 14c | 117.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Anton Shepp | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 509 | 48.1%245 W · 264 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Anton Shepp | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e03…aa34backed Anton Shepp | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Anton Shepp | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Anton Shepp | 33c | 98.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Anton Shepp | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Anton Shepp | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Anton Shepp | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Anton Shepp | 60c | 83.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Anton Shepp | 60c | 80.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Anton Shepp | 60c | 80.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Anton Shepp | 60c | 80.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Mark Ceban | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Anton Shepp | 61c | 78.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Anton Shepp | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | +20.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mark Ceban | 72c | 68.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Mark Ceban | 41c | 68.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Mark Ceban | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 303 | 55.8%169 W · 134 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Mark Ceban | 75c | 65.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Anton Shepp | 29c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Anton Shepp | 59c | 61.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Mark Ceban | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4383…dbddbacked Anton Shepp | 50c | 59.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Anton Shepp | 61c | 55.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Mark Ceban | 42c | 48.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Mark Ceban | 62c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 401 | 36.4%146 W · 255 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Anton Shepp | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mark Ceban | 40c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Mark Ceban | 43c | 45.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Anton Shepp | 60c | 40.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Mark Ceban | 78c | 37.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1,764 | 46.8%826 W · 938 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Anton Shepp | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…f952backed Anton Shepp | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…c9adbacked Anton Shepp | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17bb…e889backed Anton Shepp | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Anton Shepp | 60c | 32.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Anton Shepp | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Mark Ceban | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Mark Ceban | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 299 | 68.9%206 W · 93 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Mark Ceban | 39c | 27.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 845 | 48.3%408 W · 437 L | +34.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Anton Shepp | 60c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Anton Shepp | 61c | 22.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Mark Ceban | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.