La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc50e16a9dc4f3803d36ffbb105c76da5766f131f1be7be2b95c5ec9b7e2dc004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed No | 40c | 36,038$14,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,312.81 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 60c | 11,922$7,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,767.83 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 59c | 11,397$6,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.96 | 905 | 43.4%393 W · 512 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 58c | 7,596$4,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.14 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 62c | 7,500$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 41c | 4,914$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.76 | 1,138 | 32.4%369 W · 769 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 41c | 4,192$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.67 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 3,993$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.8 | 1,267 | 51.3%650 W · 617 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 3,356$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.64 | 3,546 | 42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 62c | 2,548$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.87 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 40c | 2,000$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.33 | 1,086 | 48.2%523 W · 563 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Yes | 42c | 1,598$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.61 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 39c | 1,321$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.99 | 703 | 56.2%395 W · 308 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 34c | 944.24$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.22 | 648 | 39.5%256 W · 392 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 66c | 893.56$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.81 | 475 | 40.8%194 W · 281 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 39c | 871.76$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.73 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 42c | 770.79$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.73 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 58c | 587.59$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.79 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 493.65$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.07 | 543 | 38.5%209 W · 334 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 38c | 477.89$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.6 | 531 | 49.5%263 W · 268 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 34c | 425.56$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 47c | 417.15$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed No | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…c53bbacked Yes | 56c | 354.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 319.16$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.47 | 802 | 50.2%403 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 202.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 1,635 | 51.6%844 W · 791 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72e…7c3bbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 742 | 49.9%370 W · 372 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 45c | 168.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes | 61c | 106$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 48c | 104.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…2f1abacked No | 52c | 103.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Yes | 50c | 80.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 67.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 735 | 49.7%365 W · 370 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 58.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,612 | 38.4%619 W · 993 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…ca16backed Yes | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Yes | 54c | 48.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Yes | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 62c | 36.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 237 | 40.1%95 W · 142 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed No | 38c | 34.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked No | 38c | 32.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…5eb9backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Yes | 58c | 30.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 59c | 21.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…b909backed Yes | 52c | 21.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…0b08backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?this page
- Athletic Club leading at halftime?No won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.