Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc60e84217f93706fe98513e39ecc473aaaf70a9310d9a8a4e5c68572a17eec6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Level UPof Level UP, RE.Arise
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed RE.Arise | 43c | 4,454$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.27 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked Level UP | 57c | 1,548$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Level UP | 59c | 1,162$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.3 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked RE.Arise | 43c | 1,015$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.1 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Level UP | 57c | 825$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…8c5cbacked Level UP | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked RE.Arise | 47c | 636.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed RE.Arise | 17c | 606.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Level UP | 57c | 500.42$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.11 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked RE.Arise | 44c | 480$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked RE.Arise | 16c | 463.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Level UP | 57c | 362.39$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.83 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Level UP | 56c | 356.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RE.Arise | 32c | 332.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed RE.Arise | 22c | 324.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Level UP | 62c | 324.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.06 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RE.Arise | 35c | 287.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Level UP | 54c | 270.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RE.Arise | 14c | 244.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked RE.Arise | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked RE.Arise | 7c | 231.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed Level UP | 57c | 218.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed RE.Arise | 43c | 204.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 535 | 33.8%181 W · 354 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Level UP | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked RE.Arise | 45c | 184.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked RE.Arise | 44c | 181$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Level UP | 56c | 174.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed Level UP | 58c | 172.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Level UP | 53c | 160.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Level UP | 56c | 153.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Level UP | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Level UP | 59c | 139.58$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Level UP | 72c | 135.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed RE.Arise | 43c | 132.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…4065backed Level UP | 55c | 127.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Level UP | 56c | 114.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Level UP | 53c | 112.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked Level UP | 58c | 103.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Level UP | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked RE.Arise | 19c | 96.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Level UP | 57c | 96.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked RE.Arise | 32c | 88.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…cd45backed Level UP | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed RE.Arise | 46c | 86.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Level UP | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Level UP | 79c | 73.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed RE.Arise | 44c | 68.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7621…11aabacked Level UP | 72c | 68.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 74cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Level UP | 54c | 65.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…5260backed Level UP | 63c | 63.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +67%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed RE.Arise | 32c | 63.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked RE.Arise | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Level UP | 56c | 56.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…9704backed Level UP | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Level UP | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Level UP | 49c | 52.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Level UP | 53c | 47.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…c51fbacked Level UP | 53c | 47.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Level UP | 57c | 47.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed RE.Arise | 29c | 46.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed RE.Arise | 37c | 43.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked RE.Arise | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Level UP | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…c1c4backed RE.Arise | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Level UP | 76c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Level UP | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Level UP | 58c | 37.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked RE.Arise | 42c | 36.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e299backed Level UP | 53c | 33.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked RE.Arise | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…9ecebacked Level UP | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked RE.Arise | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 289 | 51.9%150 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Level UP | 50c | 29.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…6106backed Level UP | 74c | 23.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked RE.Arise | 47c | 21.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed Level UP | 56c | 20.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Level UP | 56c | 18.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise - Game 1 WinnerLevel UP won
- Dota 2: Level UP vs RE.Arise - Game 2 WinnerLevel UP won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.