MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6339fe7f80259107582bc8ec7cca1f2e3073700f1024893f496791a547fed0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 13,707$6,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,853.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 9,087$4,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,578.22 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 8,443$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.36 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Under | 28c | 7,498$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.46 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 52c | 7,304$3,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,797.86 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 6,901$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.5 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 16c | 4,735$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.37 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 3,531$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 54c | 3,434$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.37 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 3,300$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.44 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…61e8backed Over | 49c | 2,962$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.16 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 2,347$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 2,327$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.46 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 1,891$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.48 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 1,709$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.82 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 1,706$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.95 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 48c | 1,640$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.89 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 1,416$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.2 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 1,285$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.74 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,189$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.71 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 50c | 1,177$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.46 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Under | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Under | 52c | 816.13$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 52c | 755.51$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.67 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 48c | 729.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 51c | 725.83$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.66 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 49c | 519.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 479.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.56 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 51c | 477.77$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.62 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 72c | 416.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Under | 50c | 399.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 49c | 397.14$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 49c | 383.88$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 367.41$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.71 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 336.78$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 331.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.31 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 50c | 319.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 50c | 309.91$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.34 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…1859backed Under | 50c | 289.84$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 52c | 253.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 222.02$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 76c | 221.69$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Under | 49c | 220.47$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 53c | 210.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 50c | 203.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Under | 53c | 202.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 47c | 168.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 165.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 50c | 148.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Under | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 27c | 143.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 142.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 50c | 135.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 49c | 129$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 39c | 124$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 59c | 118.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Under | 53c | 100.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 51c | 99.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Over | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed Under | 53c | 91.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 73c | 88.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Under | 52c | 85.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…00e7backed Under | 28c | 78.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 76.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 52c | 75.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 56c | 74.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Over | 72c | 67.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Under | 52c | 64.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 52c | 58.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…fd56backed Over | 50c | 57.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 43c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 50c | 54.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 61c | 53.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 49.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 45c | 48.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5this page
- NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.