Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc573600034f7612e977c318679bdcd53a8e9e809b5b67d30c34084b7fdcf057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 2c | 813.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 43c | 813.47$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.15 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 40c | 376.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.16 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 335.23$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.72 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 16c | 305.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 44c | 292.37$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.91 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 34c | 282.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.32 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 63c | 260.91$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 45c | 255.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 200.1$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 52c | 194.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 22c | 189.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 10c | 188.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 61c | 179.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 39c | 160.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Yes | 44c | 159.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 241 | 41.1%99 W · 142 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 59c | 155.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 26c | 137.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 48c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 68c | 117.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 16c | 97.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 37c | 95.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 90.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 36c | 89.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 34c | 82.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 44c | 81.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 44c | 80.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 45c | 77.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 65c | 77.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…a4f4backed Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…3e30backed Yes | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -14.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 57c | 63.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 38c | 62.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 21c | 58.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 55.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…afe0backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 40c | 49.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked Yes | 64c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 349 | 35.2%123 W · 226 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 59c | 48.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4df…b0d4backed Yes | 74c | 46.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 28c | 44.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 44.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 25c | 43.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 36c | 43.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 70c | 43.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked No | 70c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 42c | 41.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 30c | 40.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 417 | 52%217 W · 200 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 31c | 38.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 74c | 37.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 726 | 24.8%180 W · 546 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc17…886abacked No | 67c | 36.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 72 | 81.9%59 W · 13 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 35c | 35.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…de1abacked Yes | 75c | 35.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x556b…4e33backed No | 56c | 34.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 308 | 34.4%106 W · 202 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…9373backed No | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 56 | 75%42 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 56c | 27.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 61c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -34.5wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 40c | 27.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…e5d4backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed No | 60c | 24.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed No | 60c | 24.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 23.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13c…d9dbbacked No | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…daa5backed No | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed Yes | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187c…31afbacked No | 62c | 18.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 73c | 14.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.