CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd16d765c28cbf7c83192d661ab0c2092a06cf40467ccaa450cceda99b2278a30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof FORZE Reload, Black Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FORZE Reload | 63c | 7,152$4,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.11 | 712 | 51.7%368 W · 344 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked FORZE Reload | 64c | 3,612$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.37 | 200 | 51%102 W · 98 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Black Phoenix | 38c | 3,583$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.54 | 237 | 40.9%97 W · 140 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 1,110$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.16 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked FORZE Reload | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Black Phoenix | 38c | 761.7$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.85 | 590 | 39.3%232 W · 358 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 709.52$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.33 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 689.22$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 681.7$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.41 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Black Phoenix | 39c | 671.6$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed FORZE Reload | 62c | 629.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.9 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +59.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…f447backed FORZE Reload | 65c | 620$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 538.31$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.79 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 452.32$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 452.11$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 1,710 | 53.2%909 W · 801 L | +65.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…f032backed FORZE Reload | 63c | 430.04$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked FORZE Reload | 58c | 404.94$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.64 | 797 | 52.7%420 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked FORZE Reload | 70c | 401.21$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…1839backed Black Phoenix | 7c | 393.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…ba59backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 388.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…ac03backed Black Phoenix | 38c | 342.52$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 337.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed FORZE Reload | 62c | 330$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Black Phoenix | 22c | 306.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 1,704 | 47%801 W · 903 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed FORZE Reload | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed FORZE Reload | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,051 | 49%515 W · 536 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…c16cbacked Black Phoenix | 34c | 289.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf953…2f1abacked Black Phoenix | 37c | 275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 264$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed FORZE Reload | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed Black Phoenix | 37c | 240.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 238.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 216.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked Black Phoenix | 43c | 210.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 195.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…3df7backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 191.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…e320backed Black Phoenix | 20c | 187.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…6294backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 187$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…b838backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 185$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…279fbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 170$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Black Phoenix | 35c | 168.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 223 | 53.8%120 W · 103 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…6036backed FORZE Reload | 60c | 163.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed FORZE Reload | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 425 | 55.3%235 W · 190 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…bb29backed FORZE Reload | 67c | 156.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked FORZE Reload | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cd…f418backed FORZE Reload | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 324 | 53.7%174 W · 150 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…52bfbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…d1acbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix | 12c | 136.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Black Phoenix | 14c | 136.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c2…6338backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 136.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked FORZE Reload | 64c | 131.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 272 | 45.2%123 W · 149 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked FORZE Reload | 61c | 131$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Black Phoenix | 39c | 124.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6609…4e73backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 122.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed FORZE Reload | 63c | 118.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 114.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 693 | 48.2%334 W · 359 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 111$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 569 | 48.9%278 W · 291 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Black Phoenix | 37c | 110.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 109.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Black Phoenix | 39c | 106.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 104.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked FORZE Reload | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 431 | 50.3%217 W · 214 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked FORZE Reload | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 98.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Black Phoenix | 14c | 95.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed FORZE Reload | 63c | 94.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 131 | 61.1%80 W · 51 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Black Phoenix | 22c | 92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked FORZE Reload | 65c | 91.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 346 | 57.5%199 W · 147 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,110 | 37.5%416 W · 694 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 86.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…b344backed FORZE Reload | 64c | 81.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Black Phoenix | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked FORZE Reload | 63c | 79.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 152 | 68.4%104 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…83bfbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 77.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Black Phoenix | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 922 | 31.2%288 W · 634 L | -63.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3340…13c8backed FORZE Reload | 64c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…e9bfbacked Black Phoenix | 35c | 75.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Black Phoenix | 39c | 65.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f2…bcfdbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 59.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 58.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 239 | 52.7%126 W · 113 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Black Phoenix | 36c | 56.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -10.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…33c4backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed Black Phoenix | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed FORZE Reload | 64c | 51.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…1cfabacked Black Phoenix | 24c | 50.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe67f…c3f3backed Black Phoenix | 36c | 49.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked FORZE Reload | 61c | 49.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 244 | 56.1%137 W · 107 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerFORZE Reload won
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 WinnerFORZE Reload won
- Map Handicap: FORZE.R (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)FORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.