MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd19aeb1aa927d4d7002b17280fcd0479093aaaf61693b76b5d9c2c0c9a82f708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 49c | 62,017$30,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,487.84 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 51c | 40,829$20,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,006.29 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 9,501$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655.49 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 50c | 7,463$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.35 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 50c | 4,774$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.24 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 3,528$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 2,721$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 53c | 2,506$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.25 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 2,120$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.27 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 51c | 1,921$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.77 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Under | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.48 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,541$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.52 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 1,336$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.28 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 13c | 1,147$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.21 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 1,075$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.59 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 51c | 860.26$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.58 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 766$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 50c | 726.07$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.04 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 48c | 703.25$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.69 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Under | 53c | 692$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.16 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…4fd0backed Under | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 47c | 471.49$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.89 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 435.72$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.86 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 49c | 319.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.37 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 312.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 304.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 301.79$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.88 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 51c | 289.11$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.32 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 252.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 33c | 248.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 20c | 226$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 225.74$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 50c | 221.91$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.69 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 52c | 152.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 52c | 134.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 88.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 49c | 76.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…1aa4backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 60c | 55.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…5382backed Over | 38c | 42.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 60c | 38.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed Under | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…b5a5backed Over | 49c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 30.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 27.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa214…0653backed Under | 48c | 24.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69f…ffeebacked Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 4.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.