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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No71c17,158$12,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000.422,60839.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L-29.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x298b…f406backed Yes56c7,199$4,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0491050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes38c6,969$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.522,37634.7%824 W · 1,552 L-27.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes41c6,600$2,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.87714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No46c6,125$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,307.481952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes54c5,945$3,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,228.6651935.5%184 W · 335 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c5,720$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.728,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No79c4,087$3,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.293,81738.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1201942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9635946.8%168 W · 191 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes10c2,445$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7359539.7%236 W · 359 L+2.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Yes47c2,250$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.5310827.8%30 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes55c2,200$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21012254.9%67 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes49c2,100$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.981957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes24c2,068$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes29c1,995$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.7928634.6%99 W · 187 L-16.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No45c1,907$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.851,30853.7%702 W · 606 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d8…cab8backed Yes55c1,891$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No54c1,649$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.129444.7%42 W · 52 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+104.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No45c1,638$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.081,26153.6%676 W · 585 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes54c1,576$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.0772336.9%267 W · 456 L+2.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No51c1,442$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.4920837%77 W · 131 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes44c1,413$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.686459.4%38 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes41c1,288$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.951,55945.1%703 W · 856 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes53c1,199$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.2312741.7%53 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes36c1,186$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.171,32342.8%566 W · 757 L-2.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c1,134$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.152,01551.4%1,036 W · 979 L+44.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Yes47c1,066$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.775448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes27c993$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.1124932.9%82 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed No50c961.41$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.7111824.6%29 W · 89 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002860.7%17 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes28c909.2$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0552443.3%227 W · 297 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed No77c909.09$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.09366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes27c906.55$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1550546.7%236 W · 269 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes26c844.98$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3324437.3%91 W · 153 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes29c844.86$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9236745.8%168 W · 199 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No45c800.12$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.6220549.3%101 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes52c781.06$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.151926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-54.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes32c777.75$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8414040%56 W · 84 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No50c735.05$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.722548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No46c717.39$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.396756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+31%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No51c702$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.983482.4%28 W · 6 L+12.5wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+84.2%equal weight74+0.21 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Yes19c683.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8212453.2%66 W · 58 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No55c668.93$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9413039.2%51 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+98.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes31c602.9$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0438939.6%154 W · 235 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33024454.1%132 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b3…e902backed Yes54c579.16$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes5c576.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.178625.6%22 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked No46c544.7$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.146100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2afc…317abacked Yes24c520.83$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes21c520.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3954245.4%246 W · 296 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes2c504$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4210710.3%11 W · 96 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes14c495$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.434334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No51c482.11$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2314770.1%103 W · 44 L+22.7wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+26.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No57c451.91$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.325072%36 W · 14 L+11.4wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xce0c…d839backed Yes33c443.72$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.341020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-44%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes54c440.03$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.515345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked Yes55c436.11$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.866651.5%34 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed No48c399$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.488544.7%38 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No53c373.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.868427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes50c362$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1817951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes41c357.49$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7311143.2%48 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked No56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1411035.5%39 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+100.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No51c345.9$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4920655.8%115 W · 91 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes55c340.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8417642%74 W · 102 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No72c302.31$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1256537.5%212 W · 353 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No55c298.92$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0227339.2%107 W · 166 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No50c295.23$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.291,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c288.66$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.935,83145.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L+99.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes52c287.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022933.6%77 W · 152 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Yes37c281.5$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.610445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes28c270$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7578351%399 W · 384 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No72c267.58$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2619251%98 W · 94 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No60c262.33$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5634341.1%141 W · 202 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed No56c261.35$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.996040%24 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed Yes43c253.31$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.432740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes35c245.46$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1493445.1%421 W · 513 L-28.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes21c240$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8710650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2213234.1%45 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011212.5%14 W · 98 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x764a…9175backed Yes57c214.65$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…138fbacked Yes54c210.72$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0e…8ba9backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes24c200.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5145046.2%208 W · 242 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No46c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10912553.6%67 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No46c199.97$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9825557.3%146 W · 109 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No43c185.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.691,51146.1%697 W · 814 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Yes15c180$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bc…67c2backed Yes52c175.43$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.923438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Yes55c167$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes29c154.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.114355.2%79 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes43c142.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.893046.3%431 W · 499 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes44c140.26$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7120736.7%76 W · 131 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8770…ff96backed Yes21c138.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-68.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed No73c135.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.622564%16 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes46c134.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf756…3a81backed Yes54c130.72$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.217471.6%53 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.