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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,937 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x298b…f406backed No51c6,328$3,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,108.221050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes17c4,093$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.862,37634.7%824 W · 1,552 L-27.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No53c3,558$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.7210827.8%30 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9935946.8%168 W · 191 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c2,521$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.328,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes48c2,206$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.243,81738.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No60c1,981$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.5959539.7%236 W · 359 L+2.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes27c1,900$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.2328634.6%99 W · 187 L-16.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No55c1,814$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.648030%24 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes6c1,376$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5720837%77 W · 131 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes37c1,252$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.245,83145.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L+99.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No59c983.61$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.851,55945.1%703 W · 856 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Yes22c855$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.18544.7%38 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78e5…38e7backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+87.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Yes9c718.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0411035.5%39 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+100.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes19c606$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.942259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No51c570.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.244334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes9c555.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No78c545.6$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.031,70352%886 W · 817 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes8c351.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6732335.9%116 W · 207 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c337.83$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.573,44951.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L+22.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No63c331.05$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12193046.3%431 W · 499 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes29c300.18$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.161,32342.8%566 W · 757 L-2.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410710.3%11 W · 96 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No57c293.37$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8336745.8%168 W · 199 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes13c292.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.967833.3%26 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013234.1%45 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…138fbacked No57c257.14$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes9c249.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4946646.4%216 W · 250 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No77c232.15$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9614040%56 W · 84 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No72c223.79$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.913638.2%52 W · 84 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+58.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes9c199.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.513934.5%48 W · 91 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No54c187.36$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0850546.7%236 W · 269 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed Yes7c152.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.192740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes45c150$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3512752%66 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No75c148$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5993445.1%421 W · 513 L-28.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No73c147.2$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.41,05549.3%520 W · 535 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No51c141$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5354245.4%246 W · 296 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No66c140.51$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.831,46656.8%833 W · 633 L+56.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No79c134$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1424045%108 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf756…3a81backed Yes54c128.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No73c119.83$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.781,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes13c115.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No72c113$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4874258.5%434 W · 308 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes45c109.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5519251%98 W · 94 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes45c102.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468349.4%41 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012553.6%67 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1b…7217backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No60c94$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5452443.3%227 W · 297 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No56c92.88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.871,32550%663 W · 662 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked No57c88.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.874850%24 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed No72c87.12$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.644934.7%17 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdecf…2957backed No56c85.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes47c84.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yes39c82.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3214549%71 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No79c78.35$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.451,48937.4%557 W · 932 L+5.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes14c77.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.268625.6%22 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes19c71.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5117642%74 W · 102 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2914068.6%96 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes20c57.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.429551.6%49 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No80c51.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3119154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No79c51.43$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.85253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125653.1%136 W · 120 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010542.9%45 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes45c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.535946.5%167 W · 192 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes35c49.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.534341.1%141 W · 202 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No73c49$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.444561.6%274 W · 171 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No76c46.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1267948.2%327 W · 352 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Yes45c43.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.48966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c39.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.42,01551.4%1,036 W · 979 L+44.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No77c38.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9456537.5%212 W · 353 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Yes37c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.068749.4%43 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes31c32.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.061,27256.1%713 W · 559 L+72.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5783…429dbacked No54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93363.6%21 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+39.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No73c28.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7265761.3%403 W · 254 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa9…a486backed No79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No77c23.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.362,34651.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No78c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.062,65554.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L+27.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No80c21.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2622349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No77c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.141,68850.8%857 W · 831 L-4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7656…fd8fbacked No77c16.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.883568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.