Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5b4d59708a6f828d49b0e465f55e57befa71fd7e2e10d8c3a5fdbdf35c679f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 56c | 2,476$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.71 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 49c | 1,177$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.12 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 12c | 641.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 23c | 451.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 16c | 348.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 46c | 298.22$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 291.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 45c | 273.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 46c | 266.13$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 54c | 248$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.09 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…e2bdbacked No | 68c | 232.69$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +20.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 52c | 218$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 45c | 211$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 172.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 52c | 164.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 52c | 162.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked Yes | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 54c | 147.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 138$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 28c | 136.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 71c | 125.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 123.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…72ddbacked Yes | 38c | 118$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 51c | 114$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…9202backed Yes | 46c | 111.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…147ebacked No | 47c | 107.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…a3a5backed Yes | 29c | 107.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 105.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…9bf5backed No | 72c | 105.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e05dbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 55c | 98.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 46c | 96.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…a7eebacked Yes | 46c | 95.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed Yes | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…626abacked No | 68c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 34c | 79.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb286…aac7backed Yes | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 52c | 71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed Yes | 32c | 68.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 66.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 49c | 62.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 22c | 61.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…8a39backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…d801backed No | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 44c | 57.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 60c | 56.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…f88bbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 58c | 49.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 23c | 48.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 43c | 46.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…412bbacked Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…6163backed Yes | 36c | 44.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 57c | 40.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…6644backed Yes | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 72c | 37.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 42c | 35.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 43c | 35.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…42f8backed Yes | 54c | 30.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 51c | 28.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 58c | 27.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 59c | 27.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 66c | 24.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 51c | 21.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 293 | 54.3%159 W · 134 L | -25.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.