TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Western Michigan Broncos vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Western Michigan Broncosof Western Michigan Broncos, Eastern Michigan Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,315 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles73c24,291$17,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,731.7489645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Western Michigan Broncos33c13,960$4,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,391.055,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Western Michigan Broncos27c10,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,30090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Western Michigan Broncos27c2,522$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.2212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Michigan Broncos69c2,029$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.784,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles48c1,917$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.351,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles46c1,763$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.371,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Eastern Michigan Eagles32c1,021$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.91,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Eastern Michigan Eagles45c853.43$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.393,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Western Michigan Broncos27c791.88$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.531,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Eastern Michigan Eagles29c698.92$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.632,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Western Michigan Broncos26c490$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.630249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles73c450$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.52544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Western Michigan Broncos26c449.71$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.32152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Western Michigan Broncos48c445.44$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.481,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles71c433$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.339742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Eastern Michigan Eagles68c399.15$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7268254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Eastern Michigan Eagles28c351.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.112540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Eastern Michigan Eagles74c281.24$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4137947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Eastern Michigan Eagles71c256.03$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.953,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Western Michigan Broncos23c251.7$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.053,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Eastern Michigan Eagles42c239.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Eastern Michigan Eagles74c217$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.581,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Western Michigan Broncos27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1462,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Western Michigan Broncos61c197.75$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.912,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Western Michigan Broncos27c185.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.184,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles47c173.72$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Eastern Michigan Eagles46c153.7$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.771,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Eastern Michigan Eagles18c135$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.322157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Western Michigan Broncos18c105.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.31,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Western Michigan Broncos28c99.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.991,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Western Michigan Broncos27c90$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.710652.8%56 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Western Michigan Broncos31c84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9635650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Western Michigan Broncos44c66.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.021,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Eastern Michigan Eagles72c64.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.37360.3%44 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Western Michigan Broncos27c64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.682,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles72c60.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8811252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Eastern Michigan Eagles73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles72c46.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5181453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Eastern Michigan Eagles66c44.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.551,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Western Michigan Broncos34c44.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5522730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ec…d0f5backed Western Michigan Broncos28c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.86025%15 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Eastern Michigan Eagles71c37.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4799045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Eastern Michigan Eagles65c35.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.220248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Western Michigan Broncos53c34.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3194036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Western Michigan Broncos42c31.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.984,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Western Michigan Broncos63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1afdbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206861.8%42 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed Eastern Michigan Eagles79c26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.545453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles56c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.471655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles72c21.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3914171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fc…314dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles54c20.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25947.5%28 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Eastern Michigan Eagles74c20.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3831…7f10backed Eastern Michigan Eagles80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105554.5%30 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.