Mls · resolved market
Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd70447bcb1e8ceb91cf593d064cf01226f6415da5aea193d813c00d6c1633d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 6,058$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.35 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 31c | 3,870$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.88 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 33c | 3,163$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.66 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,595$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.79 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 69c | 2,560$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.99 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 68c | 1,678$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.19 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 69c | 997.4$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.15 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 70c | 807.97$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.39 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 66c | 749$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.47 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 69c | 680$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 69c | 428.78$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 32c | 383.31$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 31c | 365.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…0c67backed Yes | 70c | 353$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 67c | 350.9$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.02 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 69c | 296.15$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 35c | 285.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 64c | 278.82$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 66c | 228$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce2…0ab4backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 65c | 199$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 198.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 68c | 174.18$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 64c | 171.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 55c | 143.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 69c | 136.39$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 69c | 124.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 33c | 70.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 31c | 68.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 69c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 33c | 56.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 69c | 54.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 69c | 49.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 31c | 48.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 30c | 42.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 31c | 40.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 35.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…e682backed Yes | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 69c | 20.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 66c | 17.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: Portland Timbers O/U 1.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)Portland Timbers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.