Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7de77cbecc7165a8276ab41fe94b8d8d62f6307a0d47ab5e6e9af34b84763a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 3c | 13,589$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.77 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 1c | 9,082$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 283 | 24.7%70 W · 213 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…262dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,348$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | +21.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 0c | 3,475$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 32c | 1,820$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.79 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…21b8backed Yes | 1c | 1,043$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 435 | 40.5%176 W · 259 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 721.35$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 27c | 511.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 70c | 468$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 35c | 423$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 37c | 391.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.47 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 27c | 370.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 75c | 350.63$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 20c | 326$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 325.29$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…1363backed Yes | 31c | 321.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 68c | 290.47$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 72c | 279.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 4c | 268.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 28c | 224.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked Yes | 19c | 193.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 76c | 191.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 76c | 179.63$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 170$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 164.93$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 70c | 154.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…af35backed No | 74c | 135.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…1e93backed No | 75c | 132.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 68c | 106$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 23c | 101$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 39c | 99.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yes | 26c | 95.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 94.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…ea0bbacked Yes | 20c | 91.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 16c | 83.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…9b7fbacked No | 68c | 83.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…b1d9backed Yes | 22c | 82.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e9…4a3cbacked Yes | 23c | 82.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…20a1backed No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 77.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 78c | 74.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 74c | 71.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 71c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 32c | 67.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 286 | 66.8%191 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…ceb2backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 136 | 37.5%51 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…7e5cbacked Yes | 23c | 56.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e8…2e62backed No | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 31c | 55.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 74c | 54.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 53.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…2caebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 37.1%85 W · 144 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…4e20backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed No | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 74c | 48.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…91f7backed Yes | 24c | 48.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 176 | 35.2%62 W · 114 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…91bfbacked No | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 40c | 45.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…0d51backed Yes | 27c | 41.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 76c | 40.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 77c | 37.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…5597backed No | 60c | 35.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 69c | 31.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…e864backed Yes | 36c | 31.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 31.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 33c | 31.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 30.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b0…4122backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb7…91c4backed Yes | 49c | 28.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…ba1bbacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 190 | 71.6%136 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed No | 70c | 27.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…9373backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 56 | 75%42 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1325…8fd1backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…e682backed No | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 258 | 68.2%176 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 74c | 21.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 72c | 18.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.