Fifa International · resolved market
Norway to score first vs. Senegal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddacea905d54fff922b5b91f716f57d16ce2f2f8809ced6dd6066b6c6053ca2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 48c | 3,752$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.96 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 45c | 1,758$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.55 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 48c | 1,588$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.9 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 1,206$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 58c | 1,155$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.17 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 46c | 955.01$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.31 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked Yes | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…e9ecbacked Yes | 51c | 692.09$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 45c | 683.05$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.95 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 47c | 675.4$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.32 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 606.02$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.04 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…4d37backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 46c | 501$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.46 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…c2e4backed Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 46c | 452.58$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.19 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…3edcbacked Yes | 53c | 417.57$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.26 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 45c | 401.15$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.04 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 164 | 41.5%68 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 45c | 369.59$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.43 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 39c | 355.04$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 48c | 354$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 54c | 294$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.49 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +10.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 51c | 294$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +12.4wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 56c | 290.27$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 46c | 241.13$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…2588backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Yes | 53c | 208.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +11.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…80bbbacked Yes | 51c | 205.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2d…0a9fbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 55c | 181.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 47c | 138.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc1…7cb3backed Yes | 53c | 126.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 24c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…02c3backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 11c | 96.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…f932backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…af96backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…eda8backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b3…be24backed Yes | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 38c | 88.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e33…cfbbbacked Yes | 53c | 74.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7351backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…f49ebacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…b1f8backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…109cbacked Yes | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddec…caeabacked Yes | 58c | 43.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…977cbacked Yes | 59c | 42.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…f939backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1b…2758backed Yes | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 46c | 39.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…57d5backed Yes | 53c | 37.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…8b53backed Yes | 54c | 36.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 51c | 36.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 64c | 35.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…5c60backed Yes | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…4fe9backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 53c | 27.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 47c | 27.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…24b1backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…3153backed Yes | 53c | 26.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…0fd5backed Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb74…6cccbacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…bfeebacked Yes | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…2ca5backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…a8fdbacked Yes | 52c | 21.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…34e3backed Yes | 53c | 20.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b5…5ce5backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3c…6cc1backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes | 67c | 16.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway to score first vs. Senegal?this page
- Norway vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first?No won
- Senegal to score first vs. Norway?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.