Tennis · resolved market
Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Ignacio Monzon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe20704127e7df6e334a30f7f87759a46c54bc970f7adb12d17853e9f02f3ec82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hernan Casanovaof Hernan Casanova, Ignacio Monzon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $340,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ignacio Monzon | 11c | 71,777$8,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,185.63 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ignacio Monzon | 11c | 12,319$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.27 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ignacio Monzon | 13c | 5,580$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.32 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ignacio Monzon | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ignacio Monzon | 11c | 1,903$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.37 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ignacio Monzon | 35c | 1,443$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.64 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…f893backed Ignacio Monzon | 41c | 1,435$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Ignacio Monzon | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hernan Casanova | 75c | 1,298$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.46 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ignacio Monzon | 12c | 1,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Ignacio Monzon | 40c | 976.38$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.23 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Ignacio Monzon | 20c | 971.75$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hernan Casanova | 71c | 897.49$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.24 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Hernan Casanova | 61c | 600.48$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.49 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Ignacio Monzon | 10c | 590.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Ignacio Monzon | 15c | 558.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hernan Casanova | 68c | 400$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ignacio Monzon | 9c | 397.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…4a83backed Ignacio Monzon | 10c | 382.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 23.4%29 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Ignacio Monzon | 32c | 381.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Hernan Casanova | 69c | 282.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Ignacio Monzon | 27c | 265$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Ignacio Monzon | 14c | 245.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Ignacio Monzon | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Hernan Casanova | 65c | 218.91$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Ignacio Monzon | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Hernan Casanova | 72c | 207.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Ignacio Monzon | 21c | 202.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Ignacio Monzon | 19c | 186.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Ignacio Monzon | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Ignacio Monzon | 13c | 160.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Hernan Casanova | 73c | 148.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 166 | 67.5%112 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hernan Casanova | 64c | 148.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Hernan Casanova | 75c | 145$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ignacio Monzon | 16c | 132.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Ignacio Monzon | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hernan Casanova | 62c | 128$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Ignacio Monzon | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ignacio Monzon | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Ignacio Monzon | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Ignacio Monzon | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ignacio Monzon | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a2…eea0backed Ignacio Monzon | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Hernan Casanova | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Ignacio Monzon | 14c | 89.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ignacio Monzon | 12c | 85.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…09cebacked Ignacio Monzon | 44c | 83.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ignacio Monzon | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ignacio Monzon | 27c | 75.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Ignacio Monzon | 35c | 71.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Ignacio Monzon | 22c | 69.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Hernan Casanova | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ignacio Monzon | 42c | 64.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf80…9163backed Ignacio Monzon | 17c | 64.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…200bbacked Hernan Casanova | 58c | 61.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Ignacio Monzon | 27c | 52.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Hernan Casanova | 57c | 52.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ignacio Monzon | 39c | 49.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ignacio Monzon | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ignacio Monzon | 43c | 36.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Ignacio Monzon | 32c | 32.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Hernan Casanova | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed Hernan Casanova | 75c | 24.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Hernan Casanova | 56c | 21.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Hernan Casanova | 72c | 21.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Hernan Casanova | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Hernan Casanova | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.