MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe46277046a5c17f5d921bd645887e46e972bc6c9400f41387b0f71fcf6ec904f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $371,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $378,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 47c | 150,955$71,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,506.74 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 47c | 111,111$52,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,222.17 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 53c | 110,000$58,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,699.99 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 48c | 49,268$23,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,480.88 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 41,429$21,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,472.93 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 23,582$12,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,025.37 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 21,149$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,149.21 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 13,307$6,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,387.36 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 52c | 12,222$6,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,866.56 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +9.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.05 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 53c | 7,710$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.33 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 6,839$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.86 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.01 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 52c | 6,250$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 4,648$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.58 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 53c | 3,791$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.88 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 47c | 3,128$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.93 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 53c | 3,020$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.45 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Over | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 47c | 2,664$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.33 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Under | 47c | 2,259$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 52c | 2,048$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.04 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 43c | 2,031$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.29 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 1,981$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.99 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 234 | 57.7%135 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 48c | 1,879$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.92 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 1,793$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.37 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 1,659$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.84 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 52c | 1,620$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.68 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 1,235$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.1 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 1,088$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.35 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 52c | 1,030$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.42 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 49c | 1,030$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.8 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Over | 53c | 943$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 14c | 805.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Over | 64c | 671.35$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.87 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 52c | 576.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 47c | 502$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.28 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 499.25$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.64 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 14c | 486$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 53c | 422.15$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.41 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 49c | 377.26$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.31 | 301 | 50.8%153 W · 148 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 52c | 373.37$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 53c | 301$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 53c | 292.72$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.58 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 47c | 284.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 277.61$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…e0e7backed Over | 53c | 255$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 53c | 194.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 53c | 165.37$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 163.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 20c | 153.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…7794backed Over | 49c | 142.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 21c | 105.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 52c | 103$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 49c | 101.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 551 | 46.8%258 W · 293 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…a97ebacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Under | 44c | 94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…f4ddbacked Under | 48c | 92.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 89.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 54c | 71.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 71.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 53c | 68.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Under | 42c | 58.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 61c | 57.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Under | 54c | 55.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 392 | 53.6%210 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 49c | 51.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…62f1backed Under | 52c | 48.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 53c | 48.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 58c | 46.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…04efbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 53c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Over | 53c | 37.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 53c | 35.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 34.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…9502backed Over | 53c | 27.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh PiratesAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 13.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 15.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.