Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe813f14d34b3473bfed2219ca15442e3969ea8f4ba09b1a37ba10a4fee2e4d00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 20,306$10,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,113.35 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 7,927$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.86 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 7,480$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.06 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 6,260$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.4 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 5,530$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.01 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 5,001$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.11 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 4,181$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.74 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 4,180$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.42 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 4,000$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.9 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 3,173$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,238$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.11 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,994$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.58 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,952$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.67 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,882$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.37 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,680$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.4 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,644$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.38 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,483$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.89 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,246$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,237$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.65 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,149$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.06 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,127$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.2 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,116$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.71 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 994.23$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.32 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 899.15$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.72 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 730$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 700$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 611.52$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 573.67$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.33 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 504$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.96 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 456.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.73 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 400.39$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.18 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 396.94$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 365.74$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.9 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 319.66$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.06 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 300.47$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0e…eca9backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 286.21$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 211$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 181$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 138.88$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 118.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…85ddbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 107.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 104.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…4134backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 88.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 88.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 84.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…83b3backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 72.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe866…1a70backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 55.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 51.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…072dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 39.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 39.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…0eb4backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 37.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…2f3cbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…dc15backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 34.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b08…19fdbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 26.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 25.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 22.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 20.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group BTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.