Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe87de4d355a272b4c5bcf262f6ec522d79d9d460c9372591a41f339b6a4309c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 56c | 1,209$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.36 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 2c | 1,041$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 38c | 519.97$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.87 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 59c | 313.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.89 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 77c | 295.8$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 44c | 286$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 52c | 265.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…11a0backed Yes | 57c | 263.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 41c | 241.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 47c | 230.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…eb39backed No | 44c | 214.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 49c | 213.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 43c | 209.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 49c | 187.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 41c | 168.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 159.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…c4f6backed Yes | 63c | 158.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 55c | 151.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 44c | 135$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 127.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 126$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 37c | 121.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 47c | 121$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 63c | 116.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 37c | 115.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…b29bbacked No | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 58c | 102.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 40c | 91.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7010…f245backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 58c | 86.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 61c | 79.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…c50abacked Yes | 56c | 61.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 64c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 50c | 59.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…9bb2backed Yes | 59c | 58.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 166 | 42.8%71 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 40c | 54.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 37c | 51.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae11…2d01backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 43c | 48.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 44c | 47.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 552 | 61.6%340 W · 212 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…f8a3backed Yes | 53c | 46.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 42c | 46.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 65c | 44.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked No | 46c | 41.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 375 | 70.7%265 W · 110 L | +62.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 38c | 38.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 41c | 36.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 49c | 36.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…7afdbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 60c | 33.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 62c | 33.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…2ee6backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 50.4%169 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 62c | 33.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 57c | 32.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 40c | 32.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 45c | 32.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9157backed Yes | 50c | 31.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 245 | 31%76 W · 169 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…395bbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 336 | 28.9%97 W · 239 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 42c | 29.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed No | 42c | 28.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…84b8backed Yes | 58c | 27.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c25…963dbacked Yes | 57c | 26.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 63c | 24.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2faa…26c2backed Yes | 58c | 23.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…1d98backed No | 46c | 21.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…ce23backed No | 64c | 20.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…7c9abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…f92fbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…3017backed Yes | 58c | 19.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 152 | 58.6%89 W · 63 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 61c | 17.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…fccdbacked Yes | 67c | 16.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.