Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aa7716b4a3dbf4bbc2bdd7a99c2a7aebbbbb60ef4f8b6d8d9bc4edad5f9156c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 41c | 1,307$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.2 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 9c | 561.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 33c | 397.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 72c | 318.26$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.15 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 30c | 296.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…1a22backed Yes | 61c | 276.28$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 97 | 83.5%81 W · 16 L | +26.5wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 63c | 265.37$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.32 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 67c | 246$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.62 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 42c | 214$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 59c | 206.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 185.16$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…465dbacked Yes | 28c | 176.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 47c | 175.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 9c | 165.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 59c | 160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…427cbacked No | 60c | 160$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 24c | 153.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 60c | 146$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…6d71backed No | 74c | 137.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 22c | 133.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 126$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…cdc3backed Yes | 18c | 121.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 32c | 120.09$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 23c | 108.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 40c | 104.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 20c | 95.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 28c | 91.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 78c | 89.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 35c | 83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…cf3cbacked Yes | 47c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 33c | 76.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 73.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…6084backed Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 79c | 66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…d568backed Yes | 25c | 64.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 41c | 64.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 56c | 62.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 62.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 41c | 59.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3175…9bb2backed Yes | 24c | 56.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 166 | 42.8%71 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 22c | 54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…395bbacked Yes | 22c | 51.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 336 | 28.9%97 W · 239 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 29c | 50.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 24c | 49.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…99ddbacked Yes | 30c | 48.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 30c | 48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 79c | 46.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 726 | 24.8%180 W · 546 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 75c | 42.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 42.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 41c | 41.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 31c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…fb0ebacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…9207backed Yes | 40c | 36.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -22.3wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 73c | 34.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 52c | 32.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 76c | 30.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334d…7acbbacked No | 80c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 64c | 20.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…5db2backed No | 77c | 20.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 19.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 74c | 16.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0335…6ecabacked Yes | 67c | 16.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 54 | 92.6%50 W · 4 L | +17.4wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…2f62backed No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.