Us Politics · resolved market
Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee1814de35781a3e31d2665e41cf18a37253a200f758957f811469ba6b98abd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 5c | 28,718$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.38 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 21,858$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.22 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…4893backed Yes | 5c | 12,564$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.52 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 3c | 9,493$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…f5e6backed Yes | 7c | 6,832$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66f…8e0cbacked Yes | 14c | 5,565$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 3c | 4,876$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +230%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…9418backed Yes | 3c | 3,920$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ce…17dabacked Yes | 8c | 3,830$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…57f4backed Yes | 11c | 3,556$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d31…cb04backed Yes | 9c | 3,385$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 6c | 3,317$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.24 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,122$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.66 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 9c | 3,110$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.74 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a1…5f52backed Yes | 6c | 2,967$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…f15bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,922$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7be…cc5cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,782$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.3 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ed…c6d1backed Yes | 19c | 2,727$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 6c | 2,668$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.06 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x131e…52e4backed Yes | 8c | 2,625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 2c | 2,577$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb63f…557fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,547$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6a…e3b1backed Yes | 6c | 2,495$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…63b0backed Yes | 9c | 2,224$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 7c | 2,200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 6c | 2,122$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.83 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…1b55backed Yes | 7c | 2,050$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 4c | 1,977$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 3c | 1,900$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,600$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…a6a0backed Yes | 11c | 1,557$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…5adabacked Yes | 2c | 1,554$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd39…8a1dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,424$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f98…bafcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,319$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…4fd9backed Yes | 4c | 1,210$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…39c6backed Yes | 10c | 1,208$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…6f6abacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…b6a1backed Yes | 10c | 1,188$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.72 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…703cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,003$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 13c | 1,002$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 7c | 974.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Yes | 10c | 962.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 7c | 928.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…8496backed Yes | 4c | 900$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 13c | 826.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 7c | 763$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 7c | 728.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Yes | 9c | 718.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…087dbacked Yes | 4c | 694.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Yes | 10c | 631.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91a4…7547backed Yes | 9c | 601.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…781abacked Yes | 9c | 585.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe067…b980backed Yes | 8c | 532.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…2866backed Yes | 8c | 531.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 5c | 521.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 6c | 518.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Yes | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed Yes | 9c | 497.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650d…c383backed Yes | 10c | 490.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595b…d58bbacked Yes | 8c | 473.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…df47backed Yes | 12c | 430$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 12c | 418.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…a3aebacked Yes | 11c | 323.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…770fbacked Yes | 8c | 258.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…7ad1backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…82ebbacked Yes | 8c | 248.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…5da6backed Yes | 9c | 231.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0b…9bfbbacked Yes | 8c | 226.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3328backed Yes | 13c | 225$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…5e2ebacked Yes | 18c | 222.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf473…a595backed Yes | 9c | 213.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d6…a4a1backed Yes | 12c | 212.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…806bbacked Yes | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…174bbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed Yes | 10c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6855…0cc5backed Yes | 15c | 197.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…b459backed Yes | 11c | 178.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…5bc2backed Yes | 9c | 167.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6c7cbacked Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…c4c6backed Yes | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 14c | 101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 23c | 78.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +10.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.