Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf842b11c777082b2c365ff84741180d3d69dad79707f91cdd05b3586200cd13a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5daf…7d98backed Yes | 51c | 1,509$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.28 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 43c | 700$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.03 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 12c | 424.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 41c | 410.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.38 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…c4f6backed Yes | 57c | 351.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 48c | 317.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 567 | 26.1%148 W · 419 L | -20.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked No | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 173 | 25.4%44 W · 129 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 25c | 270.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked No | 43c | 251.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 535 | 48.2%258 W · 277 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 25c | 243.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1516…9f4cbacked Yes | 63c | 239.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 59c | 227$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 44c | 222.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 886 | 60.7%538 W · 348 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 57.7%333 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…149bbacked No | 48c | 194.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 255 | 69%176 W · 79 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 637 | 50.1%319 W · 318 L | +32.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 58c | 177.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 265 | 56.2%149 W · 116 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…541dbacked Yes | 57c | 176$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 42c | 165.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 50c | 160.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 547 | 38.6%211 W · 336 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 42c | 148.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 42c | 147.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 55c | 145.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 1,156 | 31.1%359 W · 797 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 141.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 44c | 140.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…825ebacked Yes | 78c | 140.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 46c | 126.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 56c | 124.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 4,009 | 47.3%1,897 W · 2,112 L | +71.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 20c | 123.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2,189 | 59.7%1,306 W · 883 L | +26.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 58c | 119.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 2,340 | 58.7%1,373 W · 967 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 59c | 100.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 494 | 49.2%243 W · 251 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…8f13backed Yes | 57c | 100.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373e…b868backed No | 42c | 99.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 35c | 95.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 527 | 43.6%230 W · 297 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 75c | 92.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 1,067 | 50.7%541 W · 526 L | +29.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked Yes | 76c | 90.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 451 | 67%302 W · 149 L | +39.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 57c | 87.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…4a1ebacked No | 15c | 84.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 60c | 81.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 256 | 53.9%138 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 9,962 | 45.9%4,572 W · 5,390 L | -309.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 53c | 70.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 6,891 | 39.4%2,717 W · 4,174 L | +269.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda61…2b5fbacked No | 41c | 69.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 37c | 65.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked No | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 446 | 44.6%199 W · 247 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed No | 43c | 61.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | -11.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 44c | 54.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 2,216 | 56.8%1,258 W · 958 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 55c | 51.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 197 | 55.8%110 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 43c | 51.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 2,286 | 57.3%1,309 W · 977 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 44c | 51.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 2,274 | 56.7%1,289 W · 985 L | +65.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 195 | 35.9%70 W · 125 L | -39.3wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed Yes | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 374 | 67.4%252 W · 122 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…e0f8backed Yes | 56c | 49.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 43c | 49.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 2,250 | 57%1,282 W · 968 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 25c | 48.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 3,725 | 33.8%1,258 W · 2,467 L | -194.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked No | 40c | 47.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 456 | 30%137 W · 319 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,826 | 62.9%1,149 W · 677 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 44c | 46.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7010…f245backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 887 | 49.5%439 W · 448 L | -26.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…c133backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1,023 | 40.1%410 W · 613 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 47c | 37.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 169 | 58.6%99 W · 70 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed No | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…19c4backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 55c | 34.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 5,193 | 68.3%3,546 W · 1,647 L | +70.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 47c | 34.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1,314 | 54%709 W · 605 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 997 | 57.2%570 W · 427 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…9ec9backed Yes | 50c | 33.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…7817backed Yes | 61c | 32.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 202 | 55.4%112 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 44c | 32.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 43c | 32.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 2,233 | 56%1,250 W · 983 L | +47.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 31.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…3ef1backed Yes | 61c | 31.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 30.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 4,627 | 58.3%2,696 W · 1,931 L | -114.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 44c | 30.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,254 | 56.9%1,283 W · 971 L | +69.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…6595backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa008…a38abacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…2a2abacked Yes | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 56c | 26.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…5839backed Yes | 56c | 26.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…7dc5backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 901 | 55.7%502 W · 399 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…6307backed Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 44c | 24.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2,201 | 56.8%1,250 W · 951 L | +69.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe58b…d6f5backed No | 41c | 24.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531d…f04fbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 671 | 38.9%261 W · 410 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 62c | 22.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 2,439 | 58%1,414 W · 1,025 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd886…1746backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,184 | 54.9%650 W · 534 L | +49.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…1764backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 62c | 17.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 941 | 62.3%586 W · 355 L | -24.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 296 | 28.4%84 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.